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Currency market weekly Outlook:

Previous Week US dollar was trading strong against all majors especially against Euro on better than expected US retail sales and Philly Fed Manufacturing index. DXY has jumped more than 100 pips from the previous week c…

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Currency market weekly Outlook:
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Previous Week

US dollar was trading strong against all majors especially against Euro on better than expected US retail sales and Philly Fed Manufacturing index.

 

DXY has jumped more than 100 pips from the previous week close 97.03 and closed at 98.20.

 

The precious metal was consolidating in a previous week especially Gold within a narrow range between $1479 and $1534 on declining US 10- year bond yield.

 

US 10 year bond yield continues to trade lower and lost more than 15% from the previous week close of 1.75%. It has closed at 1.55%. The spread between US 10 year and 2 year has narrowed to 5 bps from 10 bps and between US 3month and 10 year is still inverted.

 

Weekly Technical:

EURUSD:

 

Major trend reversal level- 1.12860

 

Near term support- 1.10250/1.09600

 

Near term resistance – 1.1160, 1.12300

 

USDJPY:

 

Major trend reversal level- 107.20

 

Near term support- 104.60/103

 

Near term resistance – 107.20/108

 

USDCHF

Major trend reversal level- 0.9660

 

Near term support- 0.9750/0.9690

 

Near term resistance – 0.9820/0.9900

 

USDCAD

 

Major trend reversal level- 1.335

 

Near term support- 1.3260/1.3180

 

Near term resistance – 1.3350/1.3435

 

Gold

 

Major trend reversal level- $1480

 

Near term support- $1480/$1450

 

Near term resistance – $1535/$1570

 

WTI Crude

 

Major trend reversal level- $50.50

 

Near term support- $53.50/$52

 

Near term resistance – $55.65/$56.60.

 

Major Economic events for the week

 

US FOMC Meeting Minutes – Wednesday (6:00 PM GMT)

 

Canadian CPI m/m - Wednesday (12:30 PM GMT)

 

German Flash Manufacturing and services PMI - Thursday (7:15 AM GMT)

 

Canadian retail sales m/m- Friday (12:30 PM GMT)

 

Fed Chair Powell Speaks Friday (2:00 PM GMT)

 

 

 

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EURUSD - Levels to watch - 1.100 GBPUSD Levels to watch - 1.3180 USDCHF Levels to watch - 0.8400 USDCAD - Levels to watch - 1.4300 AUDUSD - Levels to watch - 0.7000 NZDUSD - Levels to watch - 0.5560