Currency snapshot (commodity pairs)

Dollar index trading at 93.66 (+0.17%)

Strength meter (today so far) – Aussie -0.02%, Kiwi -1.06%, Loonie -0.01%

Strength meter (since last week) – Aussie -0.40%, Kiwi -1.65%, Loonie -0.68%

AUD/USD –

Trading at 0.789

Trend meter –

• Long term – Range/Buy, Medium term – Buy, Short term – Range/Buy

Support –

• Long term – 0.746, Medium term – 0.765, Short term – 0.77

Resistance –

• Long term – 0.825, Medium term – 0.825, Short term – 0.8 (testing)

Economic release today –

• Consumer inflation expectation came at 4.2 percent in August, down from 4.4 percent in July.

Commentary –

• Aussie is enjoying a major breakout, likely to rise towards 0.82 against the dollar. It is down this week as the dollar recovers. Further downside correction likely.

NZD/USD –

Trading at 0.728

Trend meter –

• Long term – Sell, Medium term – Buy, Short term – Range/Buy

Support –

• Long term – 0.69, Medium term – 0.71, Short term – 0.73

Resistance –

• Long term – 0.76, Medium term – 0.76, Short term – 0.75

Economic release today –

• Business PMI report will be published at 22:30 GMT, followed by the release of July food price index.

Commentary –

• Kiwi is the worst performer of the week as RBNZ makes verbal intervention against Kiwi. Active call – Buy Kiwi targeting 0.825.

 USD/CAD –

Trading at 1.27

Trend meter –

• Long term – sell, Medium term – sell, Short term – Range/Sell

Support –

• Long term – 1.22, Medium term – 1.235, Short term – 1.235

Resistance –

• Long term – 1.32, Medium term – 1.295, Short term – 1.28

Economic release today –

• New house price index is up 3.9 percent from a year ago, up 0.2 percent June.

Commentary –

• After weeks of outperformance, the loonie is the down this week on weak oil price and recovering dollar.

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