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Currency snapshot (major pairs)

Dollar index trading at 98.95 (+0.17%)

Strength meter (today so far) – Euro -0.16%, Franc +0.20%, Yen -0.18%, GBP -0.23%

Strength meter (since last week) – Euro +0.20%, Franc +0.48%, Yen -0.65%, GBP -0.28%

EUR/USD –

Trading at 1.091

Trend meter –

  • Long term – Sell, Medium term – Buy, Short term – Range/Buy

Support          

  • Long term – 1.032, Medium term – 1.05, Short term – 1.06

Resistance –

  • Long term – 1.11, Medium term – 1.09, Short term – 1.09

Economic release today –

  • First quarter GDP grew by 1.7 percent.
  • Producer price inflation is up 3.9 percent y/y in March.

Commentary –

  • The euro is flirting with resistance around 1.09 area. The focus in on upcoming French election on Sunday.

GBP/USD –

Trading at 1.291

Trend meter –

  • Long term – Sell, Medium term – Buy, Short term – Buy

Support –

  • Long term – 1.16, Medium term – 1.23, Short term – 1.27

Resistance –

  • Long term – 1.32, Medium term – 1.305, Short term – 1.305

Economic release today –

  • UK construction PMI improves to 53.1 in April.

Commentary –

  • The pound is testing resistance around 1.3 area. We expect the pound to reach parity in the longer run.

USD/JPY –           

Trading at 112.2

Trend meter –

  • Long term – Sell, Medium term – sell, Short term – Range

Support –

  • Long term – 107, Medium term – 107, Short term – 107

Resistance –

  • Long term – 119, Medium term – 115, Short term – 112

Economic release today –

  • NIL

Commentary –

  • The yen’s disastrous performance continues as stock benefits from risk on sentiment.

USD/CHF –        

Trading at 0.99

Trend meter –

  • Long term – Buy, Medium term – Range/Buy, Short term – Range

Support –

  • Long term – 0.95, Medium term – 0.95, Short term – 0.98

Resistance –

  • Long term – 1.08, Medium term – 1.037, Short term – 1.037

Economic release today –

  • NIL

Commentary –

  • Franc’s performance improved since yesterday, the best performer of the week so far.  Active call -Franc might decline to 1.08 per dollar. Target extended to 1.14

 

 

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