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Dollar Falls as Oil Eases, Yen Jumps on Intervention Signals

Dollar Falls as Oil Eases, Yen Jumps on Intervention Signals. Source: Photo by Pixabay

The U.S. dollar weakened on Friday as oil prices retreated, although the currency remained headed for a second consecutive weekly gain as expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike increased. The Japanese yen, meanwhile, rallied sharply after Japan and the United States reaffirmed concerns over excessive currency weakness.

The dollar index fell 0.3% to around 100.95, putting it on course for its largest daily percentage decline in roughly three weeks and ending a four-session winning streak. Crude oil prices dropped more than 2% as prospects for a U.S.-Iran truce outweighed supply concerns linked to escalating Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia. Oil nevertheless remained above $100 a barrel, keeping inflation risks elevated.

Expectations for tighter U.S. monetary policy have supported the dollar in recent sessions. Markets placed the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October at about 66%, up from roughly 58% a week earlier. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack also warned that persistently above-target inflation could undermine public confidence in the central bank’s ability to restore price stability.

U.S. economic data remained resilient. Orders for manufactured capital goods rose more than expected in August, while previous figures were revised higher, signaling continued strength in business investment. The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index also edged up to 48.1 from 47.8, beating expectations of 47.6.

The euro gained 0.15% to $1.1396, though it remained on track for a third consecutive weekly decline. Sterling climbed 0.23% to $1.3246 following hawkish remarks from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey.

The yen strengthened about 1.1% to 157.13 per dollar after Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said President Donald Trump had raised concerns about yen weakness. Katayama and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent later reaffirmed concerns over yen undervaluation and pledged closer cooperation.

Despite Friday’s rebound, the yen remained headed for a second weekly decline as investors assessed the Bank of Japan’s latest rate hike and policy guidance. The dollar also edged 0.11% higher against the offshore Chinese yuan to 6.723 following the Trump-Xi summit in Washington.

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