Eurozone Trade Balance- a Geographic View

Euro area posted a record trade balance at ¥194.8 billion, shows the latest data published from Euro stat.

Positive trade balance is very favorable for any country and euro area especially Germany remains robust from this point. These positive balances will be favorable to European stocks & Euro once the cloud of uncertainty passes away.

The European stocks at this valuation of Euro looks very favorable and we feel further good days are ahead for the stocks and Indexes (like DAX, IBEX) in the months to come.

DAX is currently just shy of its all-time high of 11,000 and E.Stxx50 trading at 3,440 up more than 10% for the year.

• Top performer is Germany (+€201.8 billion) followed by the Netherlands (+€57.5 billion), Italy (+€37.1 billion), Ireland (+€32.2 billion).

• Worst performers are France (-€67.5 billion), Spain (-€23.0 billion) and Greece (-€18.9 billion).

• Another worthy noting data is export which is significantly down for Switzerland (-18%), though this we believe might change in the coming months after the massive devaluation of euro against franc.

• Exports & Imports to Russia down by 13% & 10% respectively.

Overall the tone of the data is positive for the euro over longer term but could of less impact in the near as the political uncertainty remains at large for now.