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Trump Media Stock Faces Potential Collapse Amid Truth Social Struggles, Analysts Warn

Trump Media's stock faces serious jeopardy as Truth Social struggles to meet investor expectations. Credit: Gage Skidmore from Peoria, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) is facing mounting financial challenges, with its stock (DJT) teetering on the brink of collapse, according to a recent analysis by Forbes. The media conglomerate, closely tied to former President Donald Trump, is seeing its shares plummet as the company’s flagship social media platform, Truth Social, continues to underperform.

This week, concerns escalated when TMTG failed to hold an anticipated earnings call, a move that analysts suggest was likely influenced by Trump himself, the company’s majority shareholder. The absence of an earnings call has left investors in the dark about the company’s future plans, further eroding confidence in a stock that has already seen a significant decline.

Forbes’ report highlighted that CEO Devin Nunes, while responsible for all shareholders, may be prioritizing Trump’s interests given his dominant stake in the company. This strategic decision could explain why Nunes opted to bypass the earnings call, a critical event that typically provides investors with insights into a company's financial health and strategic direction.

The report also raised red flags for minority shareholders, many of whom received their stock as payment for services, loan repayments, or through favorable deals during the company’s initial merger with Digital World Acquisition Corp. With the lock-up period for much of this stock set to expire in September, the potential for a mass sell-off looms large, threatening to drive the stock price even lower.

While Trump’s shares are largely locked up, preventing him from offloading them immediately, the company’s board could potentially grant him an exemption. This would allow Trump to sell a portion of his holdings before the September sell-off, enabling him to capitalize on current stock prices while maintaining control of the company.

The erosion of the Trump brand is another significant concern for investors. Forbes noted that TMTG’s stock has dropped by 70% since its March 25 merger, signaling deep-seated issues within the company. Trump's ongoing absence from the company as he campaigns for the 2024 presidential election has only compounded these problems, raising questions about his long-term involvement and the company’s future direction.

The decline in TMTG’s stock value is stark, and experts warn that it may soon erase all gains made during the excitement surrounding its earlier merger. If the stock continues on its downward trajectory, investors, particularly those who bought into the hype, could face significant financial losses.

Forbes’ analysis suggests that unless there is a dramatic turnaround in Truth Social’s performance or a renewed commitment from Trump to his media empire, TMTG’s stock could continue to slide, potentially reaching a level where it reflects its underlying, and currently troubled, fundamentals. As September approaches, all eyes will be on how the company navigates this critical juncture, with the risk of collapse looming large.

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