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FxWirePro: AUD/NZD hits fresh 4-month low at 1.0447, China Caixin manufacturing PMI miss weighs

Aussie dented after China Caixin manufacturing PMI dipped into contraction territory in May, widely missing forecasts. China's Caixin manufacturing PMI for May arrived at 49.6 vs 50.1 expected and 50.3 last, slipping int…

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FxWirePro: AUD/NZD hits fresh 4-month low at 1.0447, China Caixin manufacturing PMI miss weighs
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  • Aussie dented after China Caixin manufacturing PMI dipped into contraction territory in May, widely missing forecasts.
     
  • China's Caixin manufacturing PMI for May arrived at 49.6 vs 50.1 expected and 50.3 last, slipping into contraction on slower increases in output and new orders.
     
  • Traders brush aside upbeat Australia retails sales data which rebounded 1% in April, which is way above the consensus estimate of 0.3%.
     
  • AUD/NZD has broken below 200-DMA and price action well below daily cloud, pair on track to test 1.04 levels.
     
  • Technical studies are highly bearish, but RSI and Stochs at oversold levels, so some caution advised.
     
  • We see bearish invalidation only above 200-DMA at 1.0599 levels.

Support levels - 1.0418 (76.8% Fib), 1.040 (trendline)

Resistance levels - 1.0540 (5-DMA), 1.0599 (200-DMA), 1.0674 (20-DMA)

Call update: Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-AUD-NZD-slumps-to-fresh-multi-week-lows-bias-lower-test-of-104-likely-733677) has hit TP1.

Recommendation: Stay short for 1.04 levels.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -30.9158 (Neutral), while Hourly NZD Spot Index was at -1.36697 (Neutral) at 0500 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

 

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