Yen Near Lows as Markets Await Bank of Japan Rate Decision, Euro Slips After ECB Signals Caution 
RBA Unlikely to Cut Interest Rates in 2026 as Inflation Pressures Persist, Says Westpac 
Gold and Silver Surge as Safe Haven Demand Rises on U.S. Economic Uncertainty 
Canada Signals Delay in US Tariff Deal as Talks Shift to USMCA Review 
Kevin Hassett Says Inflation Is Below Target, Backs Trump’s Call for Rate Cuts 
Canada Stocks Steady as Markets Await Fed and BoC Decisions 
Fed Near Neutral Signals Caution Ahead, Shifting Focus to Fixed Income in 2026 
Russia Stocks End Flat as Energy Shares Support MOEX Index 
Singapore Growth Outlook Brightens for 2025 as Economists Flag AI and Geopolitical Risks 
Austan Goolsbee Signals Potential for More Fed Rate Cuts as Inflation Shows Improvement 
We expect the Swiss franc to be an outperformer among the group of majors, even if the U.S. Federal Reserve moves with a hike in rates. Swiss franc, thanks to the intervention of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) remains quite attractively valued given the inflated asset prices in the financial markets amid a slowdown in the economy.
We have long been forecasting a weakness in the USD but that hasn’t materialized much so far. The interest rate path that supported the rise of the dollar back in 2014 isn’t that steep anymore, instead, the green buck found support as an alternate safe haven, monetary policies from other central banks and regulatory shortages. However, we expect that will slowly be nearing its end over the course of the year and the next unless Fed radically revives the expectation path. Even if they do, we suspect that it would be supportive of the upside in the franc, given the inflated capital market.
Trade idea:
We call for a sell in the dollar against franc (USD/CHF) at 0.972 and at rallies, targeting 0.9 area with the stop loss around parity.
