The Bank of Canada maintained its benchmark rate at 2.25%, in line with expectations, stating that its outlook for GDP and inflation has remained basically unchanged since October, albeit uncertainty continues to weigh on it. Trade tensions and tariffs are likely to hamper economic activity until the end of 2025, with growth forecast at 1.1% in 2026 and 1.5% in 2027.
The BoC expects inflation to ease further as temporary base effects from last year’s GST/HST holiday fade, allowing inflation to stay near the 2% target as excess supply offsets tariff-related cost pressures.
Policymakers said elevated uncertainty makes it difficult to predict the timing or direction of the next rate move, reinforcing a data-dependent approach. While the decision was widely expected, the Bank highlighted that geopolitical developments could impact the outlook in 2026.


BOJ Minutes Signal More Rate Hikes as Inflation Risks Grow
ECB Expected to Hold Rates as Middle East Tensions Keep September Hike in Focus
Australia Inflation Cools as Core CPI Misses Forecasts, Easing RBA Rate Hike Pressure
China Holds Loan Prime Rates Steady for 14th Month as Economic Recovery Remains Uneven
Singapore Central Bank’s Exchange Rate Policy Explained: Why MAS Uses the S$NEER Instead of Interest Rates
Japan Services Producer Prices Rise 3.2% in June, Supporting BOJ Rate Hike Expectations
Brazil Cuts Selic Rate to 14% as Inflation Eases but Risks Persist
Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady as Kevin Warsh Says Rising Treasury Yields Tighten Financial Conditions
BOJ Rate Hike Expectations Rise Ahead of September Meeting 



