ATM IVs of 1w expiries are just shy above 4%, and likely to pick up pace. Growing in snail's pace even in 3m tenors.
As a result, the delta neutral trading strategy in this case involves the buying of a theoretically underpriced OTM option (because the considerable disparity exists between ATM premiums and IVs as shown in the diagram) while taking an opposite position in EURCHF options.
Well, thereby, a common question pops up after this explanation, "How do I know if an option is theoretically underpriced?" I prefer to use Option Greeks platform that provides this information.
EURCHF ATM put are trading at 31.48% more than Net Present Value.
Comparing reasonable delta contents, ATM IVs and option premiums with net present values of such premiums, will give you the theoretical price of an option.
Here, the implied volatilities of ATM contracts are just above at 6% for next 3 months tenors.
So if anyone anticipates it can still be possible to extract returns from this nerdy volatility scene from this pair, even though exhausted bulls who think long lasting non-stop streak of bull run to take halt at this point. Yes, that's quite achievable from iron butterfly strategy.
To execute this strategy, the option trader assumes long on a lower strike Out-Of-The-Money put and shorts At-The-Money Put simultaneously short again on At-The-Money call and long on Out-Of-The-Money call, this results in a net credit to put on the trade.
At Spot ref: 1.1087, iron butterfly strategy (EUR/CHF) can be executed as shown below,
Long 2M (1%) OTM -0.27 delta Put & Short ATM Put with positive theta or closer to zero + Short ATM Call with positive theta or closer to zero again & Long 2M (1%) OTM 0.27 delta call.
In iron butterfly, there is high probability of deriving certain yields as it contains both bull call and bear put spreads, hence it would likely yield variant payoffs from classic butterfly spreads.


Bank of America Posts Strong Q4 2024 Results, Shares Rise
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data
US Gas Market Poised for Supercycle: Bernstein Analysts
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes
Urban studies: Doing research when every city is different
Energy Sector Outlook 2025: AI's Role and Market Dynamics
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data
U.S. Treasury Yields Expected to Decline Amid Cooling Economic Pressures
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation
Wall Street Analysts Weigh in on Latest NFP Data
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge
Lithium Market Poised for Recovery Amid Supply Cuts and Rising Demand
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data
UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty




