Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025 
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data 
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data 
US Gas Market Poised for Supercycle: Bernstein Analysts 
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis 
Lithium Market Poised for Recovery Amid Supply Cuts and Rising Demand 
Indonesia Surprises Markets with Interest Rate Cut Amid Currency Pressure 
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data 
Goldman Predicts 50% Odds of 10% U.S. Tariff on Copper by Q1 Close 
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges 
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields 
Energy Sector Outlook 2025: AI's Role and Market Dynamics 
U.S. Stocks vs. Bonds: Are Diverging Valuations Signaling a Shift? 
Bank of America Posts Strong Q4 2024 Results, Shares Rise 
Wall Street Analysts Weigh in on Latest NFP Data 
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts 
Gold -
Ichimoku Analysis (4 Hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $2329.19
Kijun-Sen- $2316.76
Gold trades weak despite easing US inflation. It hit a high of $2339.45 yesterday and is currently trading around $2325.35.
US economic data-
US PCE -Weak (Positive for gold)
Markets eye the US ISM manufacturing PMI and US Non-farm payroll this week for further direction. Easing US PCE increased the chance of a rate cut by the Fed in Sep.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep decreased to 59.50% from 57% a week ago.
US dollar index- Bullish. Minor support around 105.50/104. The near-term resistance is 106.20/107.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - Bullish (negative for gold)
US10-year bond yield- Bearish (Positive for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $2280, a break below the target of $2260/$2250. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2340 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2360/$2375/$2400.
It is good to buy on dips around $2308-10 with an SL of around $2290 for a TP of $2360.
