Both the Riksbank and Norges Bank left policy unchanged last week, in line with the forecasts. We would be looking for a meaningful move lower to engage in long positions ahead of weak Q1 data and an eventual Norges Bank cut in Q1 2016, which we currently envision.
The recent wave of migrant influx into Sweden is expected to support growth and inflation, according to the Riksbank's recent projections, and although we expect the Bank to retain a ''wait-and-see'' stance in the coming months.
We continue to find it hard for the Bank to justify much looser monetary policy. The data calendar in the next fortnight is unsurprisingly quiet.
Sweden's business confidence produced upbeat numbers 112.3 which is an increase from previous flash at 110.20.
While, consumer confidence at 98.7 which is again an increase from previous 96.4.
In the near term, we expect EURNOK to trade hand-in-hand with oil prices but think a correction lower is more likely than a break higher into year-end as it looks EURNOK overvaluation.
On the contrary, we continue to expect relative SEK outperformance among the European currency complex on solid economic fundamentals.


U.S. Productivity Growth Widens Lead Over Other Advanced Economies, Says Goldman Sachs
Fed Officials Split as Powell Weighs December Interest Rate Cut
Asia’s IPO Market Set for Strong Growth as China and India Drive Investor Diversification
Bitcoin Defies Gravity Above $93K Despite Missing Retail FOMO – ETF Inflows Return & Whales Accumulate: Buy the Dip to $100K
U.S. Black Friday Online Spending Surges to $8.6 Billion, Boosted by Mobile Shoppers
Singapore Maintains Steady Monetary Outlook as Positive Output Gap Persists into 2025
Citi Sets Bullish 2026 Target for STOXX 600 as Fiscal Support and Monetary Easing Boost Outlook
BOJ Faces Pressure for Clarity, but Neutral Rate Estimates Likely to Stay Vague
Japan’s Finance Minister Signals Alignment With BOJ as Rate Hike Speculation Grows
RBI Cuts Repo Rate to 5.25% as Inflation Cools and Growth Outlook Strengthens
Bank of Korea Holds Interest Rates Steady as Weak Won Limits Policy Flexibility
European Luxury Market Set for a Strong Rebound in 2026, UBS Says
Japan’s Inflation Edges Higher in October as BOJ Faces Growing Pressure to Hike Rates




