As shown in the diagram, EURSEK ATM calls are trading a tad below 12% (11.97% to be precise), even though IVs likely to fade a bit it is stagnant above 9%.
If IV is on the higher side, it implies that the market ponders over the price has the potential for large movement in either direction.
Whereas lower IV would divulge the market reckons the price would not move much and so that it is beneficial for option writers.
Technically, since the current rallies of EURSEK can see stiff resistance at 9.4533 levels we could foresee in short term it can very well be interpreted as short-term bulls may struggle but in medium term the resultant effects of the outcomes of the EU referendum props up the EURSEK prospects to a higher level and these bullish effects have been evident on monthly charts.
Moreover, the Swedish inflation hampers the rate cut by Riksbank in its monetary policy which in turn could prop up the pair to the higher levels.
So, trading option spreads in different strikes allows the traders in many tricky market scenarios and likely to fetch positive cashflows.
Hence, we recommend initiating longs in 1M ATM +0.51 delta call of EURSEK, 1 lot of (1%) OTM +0.36 delta call and simultaneously short 1 lot of deep OTM call (2%) with comparatively shorter expiry (preferably 1w) in the ratio of 2:1.


Big AI wants to slow down AI research. Is it a safety pause or a strategic retreat?
US Gas Market Poised for Supercycle: Bernstein Analysts
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data
Energy Sector Outlook 2025: AI's Role and Market Dynamics
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data
Lithium Market Poised for Recovery Amid Supply Cuts and Rising Demand
Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges
China’s robots can run faster than Usain Bolt – now they are being prepared for war
Wall Street Analysts Weigh in on Latest NFP Data
U.S. Treasury Yields Expected to Decline Amid Cooling Economic Pressures
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge




