HSBC Raises China’s 2025 GDP Growth Forecast to 4.8%

HSBC has upgraded its economic outlook for China, raising its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 4.8% from the previously projected 4.5%. The bank also revised its 2026 growth estimate to 4.5%, up from 4.4%.

This revision reflects growing confidence in China’s economic resilience amid ongoing policy support and structural adjustments. Analysts at HSBC cited improved domestic demand, government stimulus measures, and a stronger-than-expected recovery in key sectors as factors driving the positive outlook.

China’s economy has faced headwinds in recent years, including a property market slowdown and global trade uncertainties. However, recent policy interventions, including fiscal easing and monetary support, have contributed to stabilizing growth prospects. HSBC’s revised forecast aligns with broader expectations that China will continue its steady recovery, bolstered by government efforts to sustain economic momentum.

The adjustment also signals optimism regarding China’s ability to navigate economic challenges while maintaining stable expansion. As global investors closely monitor China’s growth trajectory, HSBC’s forecast revision underscores the country’s potential to drive regional and global economic trends.

With these projections, China remains a focal point for economic recovery and investment strategies. Analysts suggest that continued policy support, technological advancements, and industrial upgrades will play a crucial role in sustaining long-term growth.