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Nvidia Plans Budget AI Chip for China Amid H20 Export Restrictions

Nvidia Plans Budget AI Chip for China Amid H20 Export Restrictions. Source: NVIDIA Taiwan, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is developing a new AI chip specifically for China, aiming to maintain its position in the country’s $50 billion data center market despite tightening U.S. export restrictions. According to a Reuters report, the upcoming GPU—built on Nvidia’s latest Blackwell architecture—is expected to enter mass production by June and will be priced between $6,500 and $8,000. This is significantly lower than the $10,000 to $12,000 price range of the recently restricted H20 chip.

The move highlights Nvidia’s strategy to navigate U.S. government controls on high-performance semiconductors while continuing to serve demand in China. The lower price point suggests an effort to make the new chip more accessible to Chinese clients and remain competitive in a market where access to cutting-edge U.S. tech is becoming increasingly limited.

UBS analysts recently cut their Nvidia earnings estimates, citing a greater-than-expected impact from the H20 ban. While the new chip has not yet received final U.S. government approval, its development underscores Nvidia’s urgency to adapt quickly to export regulation changes and avoid losing market share.

An Nvidia spokesperson confirmed that without a revised chip design and regulatory clearance, the company is essentially blocked from selling to one of its largest markets. “Until we settle on a new product design and receive approval from the U.S. government, we are effectively foreclosed from China’s $50 billion data center market,” the spokesperson told Reuters.

As geopolitical tensions continue to affect the global tech supply chain, Nvidia’s approach reflects the challenges U.S. companies face when trying to balance innovation, compliance, and international demand. Investors and industry watchers will be closely monitoring Nvidia’s next steps as it seeks approval and moves forward with its China-tailored AI chip.

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