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Following the Pahalgam terror attack, in which lives were lost, India responded firmly, holding Pakistan responsible for its complicity in cross-border terrorism. Concerted diplomatic action under the Modi government stopped the Indus Waters Treaty, closed the Attari-Wagah border, and expelled Pakistani defense attaches. Defense was intensified and PM Modi vowed to take action against the attackers, and an all-party meeting was held to give a political response collectively.
The attack and its fallout have weighed heavily upon the Indian rupee and stock market. The stock market witnessed high volatility as the India VIX index skyrocketed with escalating uncertainty and geopolitical threat. While the market stayed solid in initial moments, the accumulation effect of the terror strike, a hike in crude prices, and falling rupee prevented gains.
The rupee against the US currency has fallen due to geopolitical tensions and India's retaliatory actions. General risk-off sentiment, as well as worldwide forces of a strong dollar and increasing oil prices, further pounded the rupee. Overall, the Pahalgam attack not only attracted strong diplomatic and security reactions but also transmitted volatility to the Indian financial markets, a reflection of investors' apprehension of regional stability and economic risk.
