The Fed acknowledged that job growth "slowed" and the unemployment "held steady" since December. But they still stressed the cumulative improvement in labor market conditions, suggesting that may be enough - or nearly enough - to allow them to hike in December.
Obviously the markets will be watching the October employment report extremely closely. A number of Fed officials have recently suggested that 100,000 may be the forward-looking equilibrium pace of employment growth.
"Thus, a jobs report similar to the August and September140,000-range would still be a net improvement in the eyes of many Fed officials. Any further decline in the unemployment rate, as well as the U6 under-employment rate, would give further reason to think about starting to move away from zero in a gradual manner come December", says Bank of America.


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