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Weak ADP employment would push dollar further down

ADP employment data to be released at 12:15 GMT is today's most vital dockets to be watched by market participants.

What is ADP employment?

  • The report is a measure of non-farm private sector employment which is obtained by utilizing an anonymous subset of roughly 400,000 U.S. businesses which are clients of ADP.
  • This data is a very good measure of employment strength of the economy and a good precursor of Nonfarm payroll data.

Previous performance -

  • Non-farm private sector employment grew at 189,000 in March, lowest since May last year.
  • Small business sector hiring at 108,000.
  • Employment in franchise increased by 20,000.
  • 1000 jobs were lost in manufacturing sector.

Expectation Today -

  • Market is expecting another solid job growth with average expectation is 200,000 to be the headline number.
  • Manufacturing sector payroll change would be vital to gauge if stronger dollar is posing headwinds for the industry.

Market Impact -

  • Dollar index is currently trading at 94.8, weaker data would push it lower towards 94 level. Euro could be the biggest beneficiary of weak dollar over employment report.

 

  • Market Data
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