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FxWirePro: Take a glance at dip in Yen’s vol YTD ahead of BoJ, compression of macro risk premium and vintage hedges in 2019

Mar 12, 2019 05:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The break of 8.0 on USDJPY 1Y ATM vol back in December had caused a frisson of excitement among vol accounts looking to buy Yen vega as a strategic late cycle FX vol play, but what was deemed to be a key technical support...

Fundamentals to watch out for this week

Mar 11, 2019 13:51 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In terms of volatility risks, this week is extremely heavy with the focus on Brexit, key economic data, trade talks, and central bankers, What to watch for over the coming days: Central Banks: Bank of Japan...

FxWirePro: USD/JPY Spot, OTC Heads-Up Ahead of BoJ and Smart Hedging Bidding Fresh RRs and Skews

Mar 11, 2019 10:30 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The constructive market sentiment is weighing on the Japanese yen, however, the monetary policy outlook indicates that the appreciation trend of the Japanese currency is not yet over, though less in demand as a safe...

FxWirePro: Factors That Drive Yen’s Turbulence And Glimpse at JPY Volatility and Skews Ahead of BoJ

Mar 11, 2019 07:23 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

JPY has been a middle-ranked but relatively weak currency within the G10 camp. Meanwhile, developments in the recent past: 1) An unexpected dovish turn by the Fed at the January FOMC resulting in a bearish view on...

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Mar 11, 2019 05:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC followed through its promise and hiked rates four times in 2018 and forecasted two more rate hikes for 2019. Current Federal funds rate - 225-250 bps (Note, all calculations are based on data as of 11th...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 11th March 2019

Mar 11, 2019 04:15 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Not many economic data and events scheduled for today, and some with high volatility risks associated. Upcoming: Japan: Machine tools orders report will be released at 6:00 GMT. Germany: January industrial...

FxWirePro: Indian rupee rallies on verge of dragging 2m highs – USD/INR long hedge as RBI’s cuts on cards coupled with risks of union polls

Mar 08, 2019 13:58 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

In this write-up, weve emphasized a cautious bias on INR FX in light of the weaker fiscal position. The RBI rate cut and dovish tone of the statement adds to this degree of cautiousness. Not surprisingly, Indian rupee...

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Economy

Morgan Stanley Warns Against Overestimating EV Demand Boost from Rising Oil Prices

Morgan Stanley is urging caution among investors who believe that surging oil prices will automatically trigger a rapid recovery for South Korean battery manufacturers. While recent headlines have painted an optimistic...

Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz Again After Brief Reopening, Rattling Global Energy Markets

Hopes for a restoration of normal energy shipping through the Strait of Hormuz collapsed within hours on Saturday after Iran reimposed tight restrictions on the vital maritime corridor, just a day after declaring it open....

Uranium Bull Market Gains Momentum Amid Supply Deficits and Geopolitical Tensions

The uranium market is entering a powerful new phase, with structural supply shortfalls and rising energy security concerns driving long-term bullish momentum. A recent special report from BCA Research confirms that the...

Energy Price Spike Won't Trigger Lasting Inflation, Analysts Say

A new report from BCA Research suggests that the recent surge in energy prices, driven by ongoing Middle East tensions, is unlikely to spark a prolonged period of runaway inflation in major global economies. According to...

Australia Extends Fuel Sulphur Relaxation Amid Iran War Supply Disruptions

Australia has extended its temporary easing of fuel-quality standards through September, as ongoing disruptions from the Iran war continue to strain the countrys fuel supply chains. Energy Minister Chris Bowen confirmed...

Politics

Iran's Internal Power Struggle Threatens Strait of Hormuz Stability

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have intensified after Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) overturned a government decision to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, one of the worlds most critical energy...

North Korea Fires Multiple Ballistic Missiles Amid Growing Nuclear Ambitions

North Korea launched several ballistic missiles toward the sea off its eastern coast on Sunday, according to South Korea and Japan, marking Pyongyangs seventh ballistic missile test this year and its fourth in April alone....

North Korea Fires Ballistic Missile Eastward Amid Rising Global Tensions

South Koreas Yonhap news agency reported on Saturday that North Korea launched an unidentified ballistic missile in an easterly direction. Military officials in Seoul are still analyzing the missiles type and flight...

U.S.-Iran Tensions Escalate as Hormuz Crisis Deepens Amid Ceasefire Strains

Fragile ceasefire negotiations between the United States and Iran are facing serious pressure after a dramatic weekend of escalating confrontations in and around the Strait of Hormuz. New reporting from the Wall Street...

Brazil, Spain, and Mexico Unite to Support Cuba Amid U.S. Blockade

During a high-profile international summit held in Barcelona, the leaders of Brazil, Spain, and Mexico came together to announce a strengthened commitment to providing coordinated humanitarian aid to Cuba. The meeting,...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

NVIDIA Acquisition Rumors Dismissed by Morgan Stanley as Strategically Flawed

Morgan Stanley analysts have moved to cool speculation that NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) is plotting a major acquisition of a U.S. PC original equipment manufacturer (OEM). According to the investment bank, such a...

Iran’s AI memes are reaching people who don’t follow the news – and winning the propaganda war

A Lego-style Iranian military commander raps over a gangster beat: Our inbox is flooded with Americans saying they dont watch the news. They listen to our songs instead since your media is full of shit. This is the opening...

OpenAI's $20 Billion Cerebras Deal Signals Massive AI Infrastructure Push

OpenAI is reportedly set to spend over $20 billion with AI chip startup Cerebras over the next three years, marking a significant expansion of an already substantial computing partnership. According to The Information, the...

Tesla's Terafab: AI Chip Factory Eyes Taiwan's Semiconductor Talent

Tesla is actively recruiting semiconductor engineers in Taiwan for its ambitious Terafab project a fully vertically integrated AI chip manufacturing facility that aims to consolidate logic, memory, packaging, testing, and...

Japan to Subsidize Sony's Image Sensor Plant in Kumamoto with $380 Million

The Japanese government has announced plans to provide Sony with subsidies of up to 60 billion yen, equivalent to approximately $380 million, to support the construction of an image sensor manufacturing facility in...