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RBA rate decision preview

Aug 07, 2018 04:09 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its monetary policy decisions today at 4:30 GMT. Economy at a glance The economy is growing at 3.1 percent y/y as of Q1 2018 compared to 4.3 percent in early 2012....

Fundamentals to watch out for this week

Aug 06, 2018 13:17 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In terms of volatility risks, this week is extremely heavy and the week belongs to the central bankers. What to watch for over the coming days: Central Banks: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce...

FxWirePro: Short Antipodeans through optionality ahead of RBA

Aug 06, 2018 10:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

We forecast AUD to decline to USD0.72 by 3Q18. RBA commentary this year continues to reinforce Australias policy divergence with the G10, but the central bank now seems more comfortable with the level of AUD. We expect...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD theta shorts on its functionality as underlying goes in range, uphold delta longs for optimized hedge ahead of RBA

Aug 06, 2018 08:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Bearish AUDUSD scenarios below 0.72 given: 1) the unemployment rate moves back towards 5.75%, raising the spectre of RBA rate cuts; 2) the Fed responds to firm labour market outcomes and above-trend growth by delivering a...

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Aug 06, 2018 05:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates in March and June and increased its forecast from three rate hikes in 2018 to four rate hikes. June decision was unanimous. Current Federal funds rate - 175-200 bps (Note, all calculations are...

FxWirePro: Is Bank of Japan struggling to keep yields low?

Aug 03, 2018 13:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The central bank of Japan has been very active in the bond market lately, largely to prevent the volatility to rise excessively as it nears the time to reverse its extra-ordinary easy monetary policies, which has been in...

FxWirePro: Central banks’ hawkish/dovish ranking based on monetary policy outlook

Aug 03, 2018 08:43 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Since 2015, global central banks have been reversing their ultra-easy monetary policy stance with the U.S. Federal Reserve leading the way. In this piece, we rank the majority of the G10 central banks from hawkish to...

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Economy

US Stock Futures Recover as Iran Signals Progress in Peace Talks

U.S. stock index futures pared earlier losses on Sunday night after Iran reported progress in ongoing peace negotiations held in Switzerland, easing investor concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle...

Gold Price Rises as Investors Weigh U.S.-Iran Talks and Fed Policy Outlook

Gold prices moved higher on Monday as investors closely followed developments in U.S.-Iran negotiations and evaluated the future direction of U.S. monetary policy after the Federal Reserves recent hawkish stance. Spot gold...

Oil Prices Drop as U.S.-Iran Talks Ease Supply Concerns

Oil prices fell on Monday as progress in U.S.-Iran negotiations reduced fears of a potential supply disruption in global energy markets. The decline came after Iranian officials announced they had secured waivers for oil...

Russian Stocks End Flat as MOEX Index Hits New 52-Week Low

Russian stocks closed largely unchanged on Sunday, with the MOEX Russia Index ending the session flat at 0.00% while marking a new 52-week low. The lack of movement across major Russian equities reflected a subdued trading...

France Faces Long Road to Economic Rebalancing as Weak Demand and High Rates Weigh, Says Citi

France may remain stuck in a prolonged period of weak domestic demand, low inflation, and fiscal challenges as structural shifts in its labor market make the economy more vulnerable to high interest rates than other...

Politics

Pedro Sanchez’s Wife Ordered to Stand Trial in Spain Corruption Case

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchezs wife, Begoña Gomez, has been ordered to stand trial on corruption-related charges and has been barred from leaving Spain, according to a ruling issued by Judge Juan Carlos...

Moscow Downs Dozens of Ukrainian Drones as Airports Halt Flights Amid Escalating Attacks

Russias capital, Moscow, came under a major drone attack early Monday, with air defense systems intercepting nearly 60 Ukrainian drones heading toward the city, according to Mayor Sergei Sobyanin. The incident briefly...

China Adds MP Materials, USA Rare Earth to Export Control List Amid Escalating U.S.-China Trade Tensions

China has expanded its export control measures by adding two major U.S. rare earth companies, MP Materials Corp (NYSE: MP) and USA Rare Earth Inc (NASDAQ: USAR), to its export control list, according to a notice issued by...

US-Iran De-Escalation Shifts Washington’s Focus to AI Regulation and Crypto Legislation

A potential easing of tensions between the United States and Iran is redirecting Washingtons attention toward major technology policy initiatives and executive actions, according to a new report from Wolfe Research. The...

Pirro Warns of Prosecution for Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool Vandalism Amid Renovation Issues

People caught vandalizing the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool on Washingtons National Mall will face full prosecution, according to U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro. Her comments come as concerns grow over damage and...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Google’s Open-Source AI Data Center Cooling Design Raises Commoditization Concerns

Googles newly introduced open-source liquid-cooling design for AI data centers is drawing attention across the data center infrastructure industry, with analysts suggesting it could accelerate the commoditization of...

John Jumper Leaves Google DeepMind for Anthropic Amid Intensifying AI Talent Race

John Jumper, the Google DeepMind researcher who shared the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry for his groundbreaking work on the AlphaFold artificial intelligence system, has announced that he is leaving Google DeepMind to join...

Trump Says Anthropic No Longer Seen as National Security Threat

U.S. President Donald Trump said he no longer views artificial intelligence company Anthropic as a national security threat, marking a significant shift from his stance just a week earlier. The comments came during an...

Meta Seeks Legal Shield From Child-Harm Lawsuits Amid KOSA Talks

Meta Platforms is reportedly lobbying U.S. lawmakers to include legal protections for social media companies in the proposed Kids Online Safety Act (KOSA), a move that could significantly impact thousands of lawsuits...

SpaceX Stock Slides After IPO Rally as Valuation Concerns Grow

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) shares extended their pullback on Thursday after a remarkable post-IPO rally, as investors locked in profits and questioned the companys lofty valuation. The stock, which dropped nearly 10% earlier in...
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