FxWirePro: RBNZ unlikely to change policy today

Aug 08, 2018 07:04 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will announce its monetary policy at 21:00 GMT. Over the past two years or so, RBNZ has reduced rates from 3.5 percent to 1.75 percent, which is an all-time low, however, the bank...

FxWirePro: NZD/JPY put ratio back spreads for optimized hedging ahead of RBNZ

Aug 08, 2018 06:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Bearish NZDJPY scenarios: 1) The NZ housing market slowdown becomes disorderly 2) The NZ immigration rolls over quickly 3) NZ bank funding issues intensify, causing the market to question NZs ability to attract...

FxWirePro: NZD/JPY bears nudge below descending triangle with 3-black crow pattern, momentary rallies struggle for momentum

Aug 08, 2018 05:10 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views Central Banks

NZDJPYhas constantly been dipping ever since the formation of gravestone doji at 75.866 levels in the intermediate trend (refer weekly chart). The trend slides through descending triangle pattern which is bearish in...

FxWirePro: Deploy options strips for stiff tussle between NZD/JPY bulls and bears ahead of RBNZ

Aug 07, 2018 13:22 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Over 2018, we see scope for some further under- performance from NZD, as we expect ongoing confirmation that the RBNZ can credibly lag policy normalization in the G3. Evidence that real assets (equities, housing) are...

FxWirePro: Kiwis under-performance in line with prolonged RBNZ’s dovish stance - Capitalize on NZD ITM puts bidding 2m skews

Aug 07, 2018 09:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

NZD faces domestic headwinds to local rates that are only now being fully appreciated. Growth has weakened, the central banks inflation forecasts have been revised materially lower, net immigration is slowing and business...

RBA monetary policy: Assessing future bias

Aug 07, 2018 07:44 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) chose to keep the interest rate unchanged at 1.5 percent. Lets look at the details of policy announcement to assess the bias of RBA. Key highlights RBA notes The global economic...

FxWirePro: Spotlight on Antipodeans and APAC macros and trade radar

Aug 07, 2018 07:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The NZD drifted lower overnight and is sitting near support levels against both the USD and AUD. At this months RBNZ OCR announcement, the central bank kept the policy rate on hold at 1.75%. The RBNZ retained full...