FxWirePro: EMEA FX derivatives trading baskets – CZK banks on CNB as inflationary games lingering MPC

Mar 08, 2017 13:19 pm UTC| Economy Insights & Views Central Banks

Stay short EURCZK: We continue to expect the CNB to discontinue the FX floor at the May 4th regular policy meeting. We estimate that inflation jumped again in February, reaching 2.5%oya, from 2.2% in January. We...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed hike Aftermath Series: Faster rate hikes could spark dangers for foreign fixed exchange rates

Mar 08, 2017 08:39 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Last December, policymakers at US Federal Reserve forecasted three rate hikes in 2017, however, the financial markets was in no mood to price them seriously, as in the past, two years prior to 2016 Fed didnt hike rates as...

Central Banking Series

RBA maintains cash rate at 1.50 percent as widely expected, no change in currency guidance

Mar 07, 2017 14:59 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), governed by Philip Lowe, maintained the cash rate at 1.50 percent as widely expected. Policymakers judged that the current stance was appropriate to maintain sustainable growth and...

FxWirePro: Fed’s rest of 2017 to drive dollar derivatives baskets on stimulated OIS and UST yields

Mar 07, 2017 13:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Yellen dropped a heavy hint last week that a rate hike was coming on the Ides of March. That too is the day of the Dutch general election, though it remains unlikely that the populist Party for Freedom will secure a...

FxWirePro: Fed’s March meet likely to march dollar gammas

Mar 07, 2017 13:21 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

After a month of relentless pounding, FX option markets are ending February with front-end vols in USD-pairs on a slightly firmer footing, thanks to what looks like a concerted campaign by Fed officials to nudge the market...

Only an extremely weak jobs report could offset a Fed rate hike at March meeting

Mar 07, 2017 13:14 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

After Fed Chair Janet Yellens speech on Friday, markets are locked, loaded and ready a move is priced in, near-unanimously expected by forecasts, who on balance now also agree with the Feds projection of three moves this...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Kashkari stands out with dovish remarks

Mar 07, 2017 11:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Minneapolis Fed President, who is a voting member in this years FOMC stand out among the policymakers who have been calling for faster rate hikes in 2017. Some of the well-known doves of FOMC shifted their camps in recent...