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FxWirePro: US politics versus Europe politics to engulf EUR/USD momentum in H1’2017 but US central bank fuels dollar yields

Jan 11, 2017 07:32 am UTC| Central Banks

New cycle highs: Between late January and May, the US dollar fell 7.5% as an EM sell-off triggered (downward) revisions to expectations of Fed rate hikes and dragged 10y TIIPS yields down from over 70bp to below -10bp. But...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What after FED hikes and hints of hawkish tones - Treasury yields, ETF liquidation, and Gold trade perspectives

Jan 11, 2017 06:04 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

This write up emphasizes the upholding longs in Feb17 CME gold futures following the December Fed hike, macro markets broadly reacted meaningfully to the more hawkish rate projection, with gold specifically selling off to...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 11th January 2017

Jan 11, 2017 04:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

Lots of economic data and events scheduled for today but all with low to medium risks associated. Upcoming: Japan: Eco watchers survey for December will be published at 5:00 GMT. Trade balance for December will be...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Turkish inflation goes against CBRT projections yet again, lira still seems vulnerable – Try long in USD/TRY via option trades

Jan 10, 2017 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The 1.64% MoM increase in CPI was far above the 0.9% market consensus. Strong FX pass-through and some idiosyncratic factors, including a jump in egg prices, led to a much sharper-than-expected increase in headline CPI...

FxWirePro: Inflation stir-up in Emerging Europe except Norway- Outright option trades in PLN, CZK and NOK

Jan 10, 2017 11:59 am UTC| Central Banks

In Poland, the stronger activity and CPI data unlikely to shift NBP from its wait-and-see stance. We expect the NBP to maintain interest rates unchanged at 1.5% in its first meeting of the year while reiterating its...

Central Banking Series

BoE to look through inflation rise, could react if slowdown proves more modest than expected

Jan 10, 2017 11:30 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Incoming economic data in UK do not support the view of an uncertainty driven slowdown in the aftermath of the EU referendum. UK economy expanded at 0.6 percent q/q in Q3 2016, the first full post-referendum quarter. The...

Trade War Series

Sniffing a Peg Break Series: Koruna- Euro peg likely to break soon

Jan 10, 2017 11:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

According to talks and rumors in the market, the Czech Central Bank, which has kept the Czech Koruna (CZK) pegged with the Euro since 2013 at 27 per euro could soon break away from this monetary policy regime. In an...

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Economy

Russia Stocks End Flat as Energy Shares Support MOEX Index

Russian stocks finished mixed after the close of trading in Moscow on Saturday, with the MOEX Russia Index ending the session unchanged at 0.00%. Market sentiment remained cautious as gains in select energy and utility...

Trump Defends Economic Record in North Carolina as Midterm Election Pressure Mounts

U.S. President Donald Trump traveled to the battleground state of North Carolina on Friday to defend his economic policies and reassure voters that the U.S. economy remains on solid footing, as concerns grow ahead of a...

EU Approves €90 Billion Ukraine Aid as Frozen Russian Asset Plan Stalls

Ukraine welcomed a major European Union decision on Friday to provide 90 billion in financial support over the next two years, a move Kyiv says will significantly strengthen its economic resilience amid the ongoing war...

Kevin Hassett Says Inflation Is Below Target, Backs Trump’s Call for Rate Cuts

White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett said President Donald Trump is correct in claiming inflation is low, despite official data, public sentiment, and many economists suggesting otherwise. Speaking on Fox Business,...

U.S. Stocks End Week Higher as Tech Rally Offsets Consumer Weakness

U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday, recovering from a volatile start to the week as gains in technology and AI-related shares outweighed sharp declines in consumer stocks such as Nike. Major indexes finished in positive...

Politics

Australia Mourns Bondi Beach Hanukkah Attack Victims as Government Orders Security Review

Australia marked a national day of reflection on Sunday to honour the victims of a deadly gun attack that struck a Hanukkah celebration at Sydneys Bondi Beach a week earlier, killing 15 people and injuring dozens more. The...

Venezuela Condemns U.S. Seizure of Oil Tanker as “International Piracy”

The Venezuelan government has strongly condemned the seizure of a new oil tanker near its coast, accusing the United States of committing what it described as a serious act of international piracy. In an official statement...

Bangladesh Mourns Slain Youth Leader as Funeral Draws Thousands Amid Political Unrest

Tens of thousands of Bangladeshis gathered in Dhaka on Saturday to attend the funeral of Sharif Osman Hadi, a slain youth leader and election candidate whose killing has intensified political unrest ahead of the countrys...

U.S. Intercepts Venezuelan Oil Tanker in International Waters Amid Escalating Blockade Tensions

The United States has intercepted an oil tanker in international waters near Venezuela, intensifying tensions just days after President Donald Trump announced a total and complete blockade of sanctioned oil shipments...

Google and Apple Warn U.S. Visa Holders to Avoid International Travel Amid Lengthy Embassy Delays

Alphabets Google and Apple have advised certain employees working in the United States on temporary visas to avoid international travel, as visa stamping delays at U.S. embassies and consulates can now stretch up to 12...

Science

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Technology

U.S. Lawmakers Urge Pentagon to Blacklist More Chinese Tech Firms Over Military Ties

A group of nine Republican U.S. lawmakers has formally urged the Pentagon to expand its list of Chinese companies accused of supporting Chinas military, intensifying scrutiny of Beijing-linked technology firms amid rising...

Dina Powell McCormick Resigns From Meta Board After Eight Months, May Take Advisory Role

Dina Powell McCormick has resigned from Meta Platforms board of directors effective immediately, just eight months after joining the social media company, Meta confirmed on Friday. The unexpected departure comes at a time...

TikTok U.S. Deal Advances as ByteDance Signs Binding Joint Venture Agreement

TikTok has taken a major step toward securing its future in the United States after its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, announced it has signed binding agreements with three major investors to form a new joint venture...

Trump Administration Reviews Nvidia H200 Chip Sales to China, Marking Major Shift in U.S. AI Export Policy

The U.S. government under President Donald Trump has launched a formal review that could pave the way for the first-ever shipments of Nvidias H200 artificial intelligence chips to China, according to multiple sources...

Oracle Stock Surges After Hours on TikTok Deal Optimism and OpenAI Fundraising Buzz

Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) shares surged sharply in extended trading on Thursday, reflecting renewed investor optimism fueled by reports of a potential U.S. TikTok transaction and fresh fundraising discussions...
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