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FxWirePro: Dovish CBRT stimulates USD/TRY upside risks, 1w calls exorbitantly priced – Construct Diagonal Credit Call Spreads bidding tepid IVs

Sep 23, 2016 13:11 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

CBT lowered its overnight lending rate by 25bps yesterday to 8.25% as had been widely anticipated; the central bank kept other policy parameters unchanged. The MPC statement was strikingly dovish in that its first remark...

FxWirePro: RBI designs new MPC to ensure policy actions on track to keep inflation targets – INR trading baskets

Sep 23, 2016 12:17 pm UTC| Central Banks

RBI finalized the make-up of its new six-member monetary policy committee (MPC). They are three government nominees who are distinguished economists and three RBI members. In a split decision, the governor has the...

Higher inflation and better growth prospects in Norway imply less need for additional rate cuts

Sep 23, 2016 12:17 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Norges Bank earlier this week left the key policy rate unchanged and revised higher the interest rate path in line with market expectations. Rate path was raised by 24bps in Q4 2016 and 12-19 bps in 2017-19. The rate path...

FxWirePro: EM FX basket, treasury and corporate effects

Sep 23, 2016 11:35 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The corporate bonds in emerging market continue to outperform DM equivalents. However the supply advantage is fading, and currency movements are not big enough to justify the spread tightening. We still see EM corporate as...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Test put/call parity of AUD/NZD options before choosing hedging strategy

Sep 23, 2016 09:17 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

We know that bullish trend has again resumed and it likely to drag further to higher levels up to 1.0705 levels. Uptrend seems to be intensified especially after RBNZ stood pat in its yesterdays monetary policy, leaving...

Negative Rates Series

Worrisome Signs Series

Un-shortable market will end in another big short

Sep 23, 2016 07:05 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This year, U.S. benchmark stock index is up around 5.67 percent and this is the eight year running; so it wont be anexaggeration to call it an un-shortable market. However, the biggest concern is not the consecutive rise...

FxWirePro: RBNZ defers OCR cut but expectations still linger - Arrest NZD/JPY bearish rout via vega backspreads on breach of 73.808

Sep 23, 2016 06:02 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Dear readers, we had explicitly specified in our previous post toexpect more dips up to the next support only at 73.272 levels and upon breach this level, bears may even drag up to 72.239 levels again, and it seems like...

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Economy

China Keeps Benchmark Lending Rates Steady as Economic Outlook Remains Cautious

China has once again kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged, extending the pause in monetary policy adjustments to a seventh consecutive month in December, in line with broad market expectations. The Peoples Bank of...

Asian Stocks Rise as Wall Street Tech Rally Lifts Markets, Yen Slumps Despite BOJ Rate Hike

Asian share markets moved higher at the start of the week, following strong tech-led gains on Wall Street, while the Japanese yen continued to weaken sharply against major currencies despite a significant interest rate...

China’s Power Market Revamp Fuels Global Boom in Energy Storage Batteries

Chinas sweeping reforms to its electricity market are rapidly transforming the economics of energy storage, driving a surge in both domestic deployment and global exports of battery technology. As international demand for...

Global Demand for Yuan Loans and Bonds Surges as China Pushes Currency Internationalization

Global investors and borrowers are increasingly turning to the Chinese yuan as lending and financing activity accelerates, driven by attractive pricing and Chinas long-term push to internationalize its currency....

Silver Prices Hit Record High as Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Safe-Haven Demand

Silver prices surged to a record high during early Asian trading on Monday, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions that boosted demand for safe-haven assets across global markets. Concerns over renewed hostilities...

Politics

U.S. Coast Guard Pursues Sanctioned Oil Tanker Near Venezuela Amid Rising Geopolitical Tensions

The U.S. Coast Guard is actively pursuing a sanctioned oil tanker in international waters near Venezuela, according to U.S. officials cited by Reuters, marking what could become the third such operation in less than two...

Niigata Set to Approve Restart of Japan’s Largest Nuclear Power Plant in Major Energy Shift

Japan is approaching a pivotal moment in its post-Fukushima energy policy as the Niigata regional assembly is expected to endorse the restart of the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa nuclear power plant, the largest nuclear facility in...

Justice Department Restores Trump Photo in Epstein Files After Review Clears Image

The U.S. Department of Justice confirmed on Sunday that a photo involving President Donald Trump, which had briefly been removed from the cache of Jeffrey Epstein-related documents, was restored after an internal review...

U.S., Europe, Ukraine Hold Productive Florida Talks on Ending Russia-Ukraine War

Senior officials from the United States, Europe, and Ukraine concluded three days of high-level talks in Florida aimed at advancing efforts to end Russias war in Ukraine, with discussions centered on aligning positions and...

Najib Razak Awaits Court Rulings in 1MDB Case as Malaysia’s Anti-Graft Drive Faces Test

Malaysias former prime minister Najib Razak is set to learn on Monday whether he can serve the remainder of his jail sentence under house arrest, a decision that could have major political and legal implications for the...

Science

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Technology

U.S. Lawmakers Urge Pentagon to Blacklist More Chinese Tech Firms Over Military Ties

A group of nine Republican U.S. lawmakers has formally urged the Pentagon to expand its list of Chinese companies accused of supporting Chinas military, intensifying scrutiny of Beijing-linked technology firms amid rising...

Dina Powell McCormick Resigns From Meta Board After Eight Months, May Take Advisory Role

Dina Powell McCormick has resigned from Meta Platforms board of directors effective immediately, just eight months after joining the social media company, Meta confirmed on Friday. The unexpected departure comes at a time...

TikTok U.S. Deal Advances as ByteDance Signs Binding Joint Venture Agreement

TikTok has taken a major step toward securing its future in the United States after its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, announced it has signed binding agreements with three major investors to form a new joint venture...

Trump Administration Reviews Nvidia H200 Chip Sales to China, Marking Major Shift in U.S. AI Export Policy

The U.S. government under President Donald Trump has launched a formal review that could pave the way for the first-ever shipments of Nvidias H200 artificial intelligence chips to China, according to multiple sources...

Oracle Stock Surges After Hours on TikTok Deal Optimism and OpenAI Fundraising Buzz

Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) shares surged sharply in extended trading on Thursday, reflecting renewed investor optimism fueled by reports of a potential U.S. TikTok transaction and fresh fundraising discussions...
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