FxWirePro: EUR/USD unlikely to break out long lasting range as IVs set to drop after central banks’ dovish stances

Jun 20, 2016 11:13 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

We suggest that offsetting forces and a period of relatively calm central bank activity will push FX volatility down in H2. Major central banks such as BoJ, RBA, RBNZ and the ECB face strong internal resistance to deeper...

German Q2 growth likely to slow down sharply: Bundesbank

Jun 20, 2016 10:53 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary Economy

According to Bundesbank, Germanys second quarter growth is likely to slow down sharply, before re-bounding later in the year to return to a solid growth path. Growth is likely to witness a setback in the second quarter,...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedging bearish risks as AUD’s renewed weakness linger during H2 due to RBA’s deferral

Jun 20, 2016 10:33 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

From RBA, the rate cut in May month has nothing to do with growth, and everything to do with inflation. More RBA cuts in the months to come and we reckon this is not completely priced in, the RBA surprised the market...

Poland’s retail sales and industrial output data soften in May; keeps door open for rate cuts

Jun 20, 2016 09:11 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Polands retail sales and industrial output data for May came in below expectations. In seasonally adjusted terms, industrial output declined 0.9 percent on sequential basis as compared with the 2.4 percent month-on-month...

Currency War Series

RBI Governor to return to academia; August rate cut decision to depend on June inflation figures

Jun 20, 2016 07:02 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

On Saturday, RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan told the RBI staff that he will return to academia after his term with the RBI ends on September 4. There were some negative reactions in the local markets as the exit of Rajan...

Philippines imports likely to grow on higher demand of capital goods

Jun 20, 2016 06:46 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

Philippines imports data, due to be released late this week, is expected to rise, indicating continued robust demand. This is primarily due to surge in imports of capital goods during the first quarter of this year, driven...

What sort of Reserve Bank governor will Philip Lowe be?

Jun 20, 2016 06:20 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Glenn Stevens ten year stewardship of the Reserve Bank of Australia has been characterised by remarkable challenges. Yet, if the Australian economy has shown considerable resilience over this troubled decade, particularly...