Currency War Series

Bank of Thailand stands pat; likely to stay on hold throughout 2016

Aug 03, 2016 10:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Bank of Thailands Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) unanimously decided to keep the policy rate on hold at 1.5 percent, at par with projections. According to the central banks post meeting statement, the Committee...

Looking at disappointing PMI reports BoE is likely to take measures

Aug 03, 2016 10:17 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Looking at the disappointing PMI reports, even if could be the result of just worsening sentiment, the Bank of England (BoE) is likely to announce some measures at tomorrows policy meeting. On Monday, PMI data from Markit...

Forget Super Thursday, the Bank of England can only offer Mildly Useful Thursday

Aug 03, 2016 10:16 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

The Bank of England is expected to announce on Thursday measures to stimulate the UK economy following signs that there will be a significant economic downturn following the vote for Brexit. The Bank may cut interest...

UK PMIs, investments send early and better clarity to infer for most likely BOE easing tomorrow

Aug 03, 2016 07:56 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

As the British PMI for the manufacturing sector has missed the forecasts recently, a downward shift already would mean that sentiments are certainly not conducive for business in the UK, (actual 48.2 versus forecasts 49.1...

FxWirePro: Stay short in NZD/CAD on valuation, RBNZ, disinflation and China slowdown

Aug 03, 2016 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

On Valuation terms: NZD remains overvalued, while milk powder prices have stayed depressed and inflation in New Zealand has surprised to the downside. NZD TWI strength is a major concern, together with downside risks to...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Load up GBP/JPY longs in back spread on accelerated IV pace ahead of BoE - hedge downside risks using Vega ATM puts

Aug 03, 2016 07:12 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

1W and 2W ATM IVs of GBP crosses are acting crazily in OTC markets, GBPJPY flashing more than 19.80% and 17.20% respectively ahead of Bank of Englands monetary policy which is most likely to ease about 25bps. Please...

Currency War Series

Is the concept of 'helicopter money' set for a resurgence?

Aug 03, 2016 06:50 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

As a student I was taught (and this will date me) that macroeconomics (the study of the economy as a whole) was essentially governed by two alternative views Keynesianism and Monetarism. Keynesians believed that the...