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Daily Economic Outlook: 30th June, 2015

Jun 30, 2015 04:28 am UTC| Commentary

In advance of the end-month bailout extension expiry, Greek developments will remain closely watched both for signs of any return to negotiations, or of any change in sentiment around the ECBs ongoing support to the Greek...

Cross-currents to keep AUD stable

Jun 30, 2015 04:07 am UTC| Commentary

The AUD has been relatively stable versus the USD and on a trade weighted basis in June, ending the quarter close to the forecast of 0.77. There have been various cross-currents including mixed domestic data (weak...

AU rates: a conditional easing bias

Jun 30, 2015 03:59 am UTC| Commentary

RBA policy risk is supporting a steep curve. RBA is expected to the keep policy unchanged over coming months while the Bank assesses the run of data to gauge the traction of current policy settings.There is an implied...

More USD/CAD weakness in 2016

Jun 30, 2015 03:54 am UTC| Commentary

The pickup in US data alongside a September Fed hike will support USD-CAD.Additionally, WTI prices will dip in Q3 (before rebounding in Q4), according to our energy analysts, also weighing on CAD. With USD/CAD downside...

CAD rates to continue to outperform US

Jun 30, 2015 03:47 am UTC| Commentary

Recent economic data point to continuing divergence of monetary policies in US and Canada. Q1 GDP in Canada at -0.6% came much weaker than projected by the BOC, showing a greater negative impact from the oil shock than...

USD/JPY range to shift higher

Jun 30, 2015 03:41 am UTC| Commentary

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kurodas recent comments about the yens real effective exchange rate and his later explanatory remarks prompted discussions in the FX market.Basic scenario is that USD/JPY will hover in...

JGB yields following a downward trend, but…

Jun 30, 2015 03:28 am UTC| Commentary

Rise in volatility due to low liquidity is becoming a risk for the JGB market. As long as central banks are buying government bonds in large quantities, yields will probably be vulnerable to downward pressure, and if the...

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Economy

For the next prime minister to solve the UK’s productivity problem, they must attract more foreign investment – here’s how

The British economy has a serious productivity problem that will have to be addressed by the next government. According to data from the OECD (the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development), productivity...

Brexit boredom is one thing – but there’s a real problem when Britain’s leaders won’t even talk about Europe anymore

British politics has, in recent years, been plagued by two competing forces when it comes to Europe. On one side, there is an understanding that the UK and the EU need to rub along, because of their proximity and...

Space arms race may be underway

As conflict rages on Earth, an arms race may be underway in outer space. On May 30, a US diplomat warned that Russia had launched a weapon into orbit, something Russias deputy foreign minister, Sergey Ryabkov, branded as...

Mauritius’ next growth phase: a new plan is needed as the tax haven era fades

Mauritians will head to the polls by November 2024 and politicians are considering the economic direction of the island country. For the last two decades, the countrys economic growth has depended heavily on its...

Canadians are feeling increasingly powerless amid economic struggles and rising inequality

If you feel like youre being pushed around in life, youre not alone. Our recent research has found that Canadians are increasingly feeling a sense of powerlessness in their lives. This sentiment has been steadily...

Politics

Three ways politicians always promise to raise money without increasing taxes – and why they rarely deliver

After weeks of controversy over Labour and Conservative costings in which each side accused the other of dishonesty the manifestos show that both parties had wildly exaggerated their rivals plans. But there has been...

Election 2024: migrants aren’t to blame for Britain’s housing crisis

Migration has become the most toxic issue in British politics, driving intensely emotional debates that are often based on prejudice and misunderstanding. Similarly emotional is housing a finite resource in high demand at...

How Vladimir Putin projects his image as a modern-day Peter the Great

Russian energy giant Gazprom is reported to have been hit particularly hard by sanctions imposed as a result of the war with Ukraine. An internal report obtained and published by the Financial Times has forecast that the...

Another election, another round of Nigel Farage hype, with no lessons learned

Nigel Farage, a man who has never been elected to the House of Commons despite years of trying, has again been allowed to set the agenda in the UK. Ten years after Ukip won the European parliament elections, throwing...

Science

Japan Discovers 230 Million Ton Manganese Deposits, Boosting EV Battery Industry

Japan has discovered 230 million tonnes of manganese deposits near Minami-Torishima Island, potentially transforming its EV battery industry by significantly reducing reliance on imports and providing enough cobalt and...

Keeping astronauts healthy in space isn’t easy − new training programs will prepare students to perform medicine while thousands of miles away from Earth

In the coming decade, more people will go to space than ever before as human spaceflight enters a new era. NASA, the European Space Agency and other governmental agencies are partnering to develop crewed missions beyond...

Nations realise they need to take risks or lose the race to the Moon

The Nasa-led Artemis-3 mission will place the first human boots on the surface of the Moon since Apollo 17s Gene Cernan and Harrison Schmitt left the lunar surface in December 1972. The goal of the Artemis programme is...

Some of Earth’s most ancient lifeforms can live on hydrogen – and we can learn from their chemical powers

Three-quarters of all matter in the universe is made up of hydrogen. The young Earth was also rich in hydrogen, thanks to fierce geological and volcanic activity. Just as stars burn hydrogen to produce heat and light...

Technology

Kraken Co-Founder Jesse Powell Donates $1M in Ether to Support Trump Campaign

Jesse Powell, co-founder of Kraken, announced on X his $1 million donation in Ether to Donald Trumps 2024 presidential campaign. Powell emphasized Trump as the only major pro-crypto candidate, criticizing the current...

Bitcoin Price Poised for Breakout as Options Expiry Looms: Key Levels to Watch

Traders anticipate a significant breakout in Bitcoins price as the options expiry approaches today. BTC, currently trading at $61,657 with a market cap of $1.2 trillion, has experienced a June downtrend. Analysts predict...

Indian Police Bust $200K 'Max Crypto' Ponzi Scheme, Arrest Main Suspect

A resident of Mangalore, Karnataka, has been apprehended for orchestrating a cryptocurrency Ponzi scheme, defrauding over 50 individuals. Kunjathbail Mujib Sayyad was arrested in Hyderabad for his involvement in the Max...

Nigeria’s SEC Chief: Crypto Can Benefit 38M Unbanked, Boost Market to $52.5M by 2028

A spot Solana ETF in the United States could become a reality with a change in SEC leadership, according to industry experts. The current regulatory environment poses challenges, but a new administration might pave the way...
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