Can we predict political uprisings?

Jun 17, 2017 15:17 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics Economy

Forecasting political unrest is a challenging task, especially in this era of post-truth and opinion polls. Several studies by economists such as Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler in 1998 and 2002 describe how economic...

UK gilts remain tad lower in muted trading session

Jun 16, 2017 12:29 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

The UK gilts remained tad lowerFridayas investors booked in profits amid a muted trading session that witnessed no data of economic significance. Also, the Bank of England (BoE) kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged...

FxWirePro: Sterling bumps along the bottom after data season, add optionality trades to keep price turbulence on the check

Jun 16, 2017 12:07 pm UTC| Economy Insights & Views Central Banks

The UK economy has weathered the 12 months since the vote to leave the EU better than feared, though the 1Q gain in GDP was, at 0.1% qoq, the slowest in the EU and the uncertainty emanating from the 8 June election result...

Eurozone periphery bonds trade weak after consumer inflation remains unchanged in May

Jun 16, 2017 09:40 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The Eurozone periphery bonds traded weak Friday after reading the zones consumer price inflation index (CPI) data, which remained unchanged during the month of May, compared to that in the previous month. The benchmark...

CBR likely to follow easing path, hit 8 pct by end-2017: Danske Bank

Jun 16, 2017 08:09 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) is expected to follow along the lines of easy monetary policy, cutting the benchmark interest rate to 8.00 percent by end-2017 and to 7.00 percent by late 2018. Given dovish pricing by...

New Zealand bonds slump at close in silent trading session; investors await GDT price auction

Jun 16, 2017 06:12 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The New Zealand bonds slumped at the time of closing Friday as investors remained sidelined in any major trading activity amid a silent session that witnessed data of little economic significance. Also, investors are...

JGBs remain modestly lower post BoJ’s unchanged monetary policy decision

Jun 16, 2017 05:05 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The Japanese government bonds traded modestly lower Friday after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its benchmark interest rate unchanged at its 2-day monetary policy meeting, concluded early today. The benchmark...