USD/TRY likely to rise around 3.60 by Q2 2017; Fed to embark on regular tightening cycle, says Commerzbank

Nov 30, 2016 12:14 pm UTC| Economy Commentary

The lira has rebounded modestly this week as the USD has eased off somewhat and EM sentiment has managed to stabilise for the time being. In the liras case, there could have been two secondary factors which helped. The...

Brazil Q3 economic growth declines, in line with market expectations

Nov 30, 2016 11:55 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Economic growth in Brazil declined during the third quarter of this year, coming in line with what markets had initially anticipated. The gross domestic product (GDP) fell 0.8 percent over the third quarter of 2016...

Asian currencies likely to depreciate for fifth consecutive year in 2017 on rising global headwinds, says ANZ

Nov 30, 2016 10:51 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Asian currencies are expected to depreciate for the fifth straight year, going into 2017, following mounting global headwinds; also sharp appreciation in the greenback will pose serious threats to major Asian...

German labor market shows signs of recovery in October, jobless rate remains at record low

Nov 30, 2016 09:34 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Unemployment in Germany fell during the month of October, largely in line with market expectations and throwing signs of a gradual recovery in the countrys ailing labor market. Also, the jobless rate remained at a...

Renminbi Series

Capital outflows from China rises in past few months; offshore market to face deeper CNY depreciation pressure

Nov 30, 2016 08:57 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Capital outflows from China have increased over the past few months, averaging to SD24 billion a month since May. But the net payments are dominated in RMB instead of in the USD. In fact, banks report net receipts in...

China Crisis Series

Renminbi Series

Renminbi Series: Next phase in China crisis about to begin

Nov 30, 2016 08:42 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The biggest threat to theglobal economy is China, thesituation where could worsen with the return of inflation in the United States and other parts of the world. According to Morgan Stanley, the debt level in China rose to...

Indonesia manufacturing FDI likely to reach record-high in 2016; current account deficit appears sustainable

Nov 30, 2016 06:55 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Foreign direct investment in Indonesias manufacturing is expected to reach a record-high of USD17 billion this year, with the overall FDI already having gone up, excluding that in the area of mining. If FDI can be...