Brazil’s external debt is not among the worst in the EM world

Sep 30, 2015 20:53 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

Brazils external debt (ED) to GDP ratio - which declined to nearly 17% of GDP in 2008 and still stood at a moderate 25.2% at the end of 2013 - rose to 41% of GDP in Q3 15. While the increase in 2014 was driven by a rise in...

Brazil economy cannot expect policy led support to grow

Sep 30, 2015 03:47 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Structural reform can help Brazil in the longer run, but the possibility of medium-term recovery depends on the potential improvement in the external demand scenario. Following recent inflation releases, 2015 inflation...

The dichotomy between falling exports and recovering domestic demand in South Korea

Sep 30, 2015 01:44 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The trade and production data are due tomorrow. It has been reported that exports contracted 7.0% (YoY) in the first 20 days of Sep15, a smaller decline compared to -12.1% in the same period of Aug15. But the full-month...

Global Reflation Series

Japan needs expansion of nominal GDP through reflationary policies

Sep 29, 2015 04:40 am UTC| Commentary Economy

The original goal of Abenomics was to expand nominal GDP through reflationary policies, as it perceived shrinking nominal GDP to be the largest problem facing the Japanese economy. This policy is leading Japan in the right...

Mexico's labor market stabilizing on better labor conditions

Sep 28, 2015 16:27 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

Mexicos unemployment rate remained flat in August with respect to the one observed in July. This was mainly driven by an unexpected increase in the participation rate of almost 80bp in seasonally adjusted data reaching...

India's macro backdrop improved; GDP growth on right path

Sep 28, 2015 07:27 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Most macro indicators in Indian economy have been improving since early 2014. However, a recovery in private capex is asbent, partly reflecting large and persisting idle industrial capacity. Accordingly, euphoric...

Canadian economy is headed for a slower end of the quarter

Sep 27, 2015 21:35 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

The Canadian economy is headed for a slower end of the quarter, as indicated by disappointing July wholesale trade and retail sales. The mixed signals regarding the resilience of the Canadian consumer put into doubt how...