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Markets are preparing for Fed's liftoff since 2006, as the FOMC fears that if it postpones the first hike, the hiking cycle may not be as gradual as hinted at by members, as the FOMC risks to ‘fall behind the curve. In this exclusive series we provide an insightful views and analysis on US labor market- a key to understanding why the Fed will raise rates (IOER and ON RRP), swap yields, dollar index, FX volatility and new hiking framework.

Fed Liftoff Series

Rate hike odds improve sharply after FOMC minutes

May 19, 2016 06:26 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After yesterdays FOMC minutes gave clearest indication ever for a June rate hike, interest rates market have adjusted sharply in anticipation of such. As per the minutes, many participants believed a riser would be...

Fed Liftoff Series

Fed signals rate hike in June on conditions of economic improvement

May 19, 2016 05:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The minutes of the April 26-27 Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Wednesday signaled markets of a possible rate hike in June, if the US economy good track of improvement. Investors and creditors have been warned of such...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – end of series note

Dec 16, 2015 16:38 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC decision that we have been focusing on for past days in this series covering various aspects, probabilities, possibilities surrounding a rate hike from FED, is finally here and just few hours away. Not forgettable,...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – key short term levels for key major pairs

Dec 16, 2015 16:05 pm UTC| Commentary

We have almost covered, key vital areas, heading into FOMC, which is widely expected to be the meeting, where FED finally hike rates. We in this post, finally cover some technical aspects - levels and resistances of key...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – watch out for dissenters

Dec 16, 2015 15:29 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

We are only few hours away from much anticipated FOMC decision. We expect, a 25 basis points hike in Federal fund rate, discount rates and 25 basis points hike in excess as well as required reserve. We also expects FED to...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – IOER, discount rates and RRP

Dec 16, 2015 15:04 pm UTC| Commentary

We are only hours away from a highest probability chance of a rate hike of 25 basis points from FED, after a decade of no hikes. We in earlier posts have addressed the possible implications, impact of FED hike that might...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – general overview

Dec 16, 2015 14:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today finally there is almost certainty that US Federal Reserve will hike rates by 25 basis points, for first time in almost a decade and officially ending long seven years of accommodation. FED however has indicated that...

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Economy

China’s New Home Prices Post Sharpest Drop Since 2022 Amid Ongoing Property Slump

Chinas new home prices recorded their steepest decline in more than three years in February, highlighting the persistent weakness in the countrys property market despite continued policy support. According to data released...

Strait of Hormuz LNG Crisis Triggers Global Energy Market Shock

The global energy market is facing its most serious disruption since the Ukraine invasion, as escalating tensions involving Iran have effectively halted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow waterway is the...

Trump Warns Iran as Gulf Conflict Disrupts Oil Markets and Global Trade

U.S. President Donald Trump has issued a stern warning to Iran, cautioning against further retaliatory attacks targeting the United States and its Middle East allies. In a recent Truth Social post, Trump stated that any...

Strait of Hormuz Oil and LNG Shipments Disrupted After U.S.-Israel Strikes on Iran

Global oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have been disrupted after the United States and Israel launched attacks on Iran, prompting Tehran to declare the strategic waterway closed....

MOEX Russia Index Hits 3-Month High as Energy Stocks Lead Gains

Russian stocks closed mixed on Saturday, with the MOEX Russia Index finishing flat but reaching a new three-month high. Despite ending the session unchanged at 0.00%, investor sentiment remained supported by strong...

Politics

Israel Launches Fresh Strikes on Iran After Death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei

Israel launched a new wave of airstrikes on Iran Sunday, escalating tensions across the Middle East after the reported killing of Irans Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in coordinated U.S.-Israeli military operations....

Russia Signals Openness to U.S. Security Guarantees for Ukraine at Geneva Peace Talks

Russia has indicated it would accept a U.S.-backed proposal for Ukraines post-war security guarantees during recent peace talks in Geneva, according to a senior aide to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. The...

Trump Launches Operation Epic Fury: U.S. Strikes on Iran Mark High-Risk Shift in Middle East

President Donald Trump authorized a sweeping U.S. military operation against Iran after receiving intelligence briefings that warned of potential American casualties while highlighting a possible geopolitical shift in...

U.S.-Israel Strike on Iran Escalates Middle East Conflict, Trump Claims Khamenei Killed

The United States and Israel have launched coordinated military strikes on Iran, dramatically escalating tensions in the Middle East. U.S. President Donald Trump stated on Truth Social that Irans Supreme Leader, Ayatollah...

Netanyahu Suggests Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei May Have Been Killed in Israeli-U.S. Strikes

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Saturday that there are many signs indicating Irans Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, may have been killed in recent Israeli-U.S. airstrikes on Iran. The statement comes...

Science

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Technology

Samsung Electronics Stock Poised for $1 Trillion Valuation Amid AI and Memory Boom

Samsung Electronics Co Ltd DRC (LON:0593xq) is rapidly regaining momentum as global demand for AI infrastructure and memory chips accelerates. According to recent analyst reports from Citi, Macquarie, and Morgan Stanley,...

OpenAI Pentagon AI Contract Adds Safeguards Amid Anthropic Dispute

OpenAI has confirmed that its newly signed contract with the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) includes expanded safeguards designed to tightly regulate how artificial intelligence is deployed on classified government...

Trump Orders Federal Agencies to Halt Use of Anthropic AI Technology

U.S. President Donald Trump announced Friday that he has directed every federal agency to immediately stop using artificial intelligence technology developed by Anthropic, escalating tensions between the federal government...

Federal Judge Blocks Virginia Social Media Age Verification Law Over First Amendment Concerns

A federal judge has temporarily blocked Virginia from enforcing a new social media law designed to protect children from online addiction, ruling that it likely violates First Amendment rights. The decision marks a...

Nintendo Share Sale: MUFG and Bank of Kyoto to Sell Stakes in Strategic Unwinding

Nintendo is reportedly preparing a major unwinding of strategic cross-shareholdings that could see MUFG Bank and the Bank of Kyoto sell significant stakes in the iconic Super Mario maker. According to sources familiar with...
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