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Markets are preparing for Fed's liftoff since 2006, as the FOMC fears that if it postpones the first hike, the hiking cycle may not be as gradual as hinted at by members, as the FOMC risks to ‘fall behind the curve. In this exclusive series we provide an insightful views and analysis on US labor market- a key to understanding why the Fed will raise rates (IOER and ON RRP), swap yields, dollar index, FX volatility and new hiking framework.

Fed Liftoff Series

Rate hike odds improve sharply after FOMC minutes

May 19, 2016 06:26 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After yesterdays FOMC minutes gave clearest indication ever for a June rate hike, interest rates market have adjusted sharply in anticipation of such. As per the minutes, many participants believed a riser would be...

Fed Liftoff Series

Fed signals rate hike in June on conditions of economic improvement

May 19, 2016 05:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The minutes of the April 26-27 Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Wednesday signaled markets of a possible rate hike in June, if the US economy good track of improvement. Investors and creditors have been warned of such...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – end of series note

Dec 16, 2015 16:38 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC decision that we have been focusing on for past days in this series covering various aspects, probabilities, possibilities surrounding a rate hike from FED, is finally here and just few hours away. Not forgettable,...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – key short term levels for key major pairs

Dec 16, 2015 16:05 pm UTC| Commentary

We have almost covered, key vital areas, heading into FOMC, which is widely expected to be the meeting, where FED finally hike rates. We in this post, finally cover some technical aspects - levels and resistances of key...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – watch out for dissenters

Dec 16, 2015 15:29 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

We are only few hours away from much anticipated FOMC decision. We expect, a 25 basis points hike in Federal fund rate, discount rates and 25 basis points hike in excess as well as required reserve. We also expects FED to...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – IOER, discount rates and RRP

Dec 16, 2015 15:04 pm UTC| Commentary

We are only hours away from a highest probability chance of a rate hike of 25 basis points from FED, after a decade of no hikes. We in earlier posts have addressed the possible implications, impact of FED hike that might...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – general overview

Dec 16, 2015 14:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today finally there is almost certainty that US Federal Reserve will hike rates by 25 basis points, for first time in almost a decade and officially ending long seven years of accommodation. FED however has indicated that...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

China’s new world order: looking for clues from Xi’s recent meetings with foreign leaders

There is broad consensus that Chinese foreign policy has become more assertive and more centralised in the decade since Xi Jinping has ascended to the top of Chinas leadership. This has also meant that Chinese foreign...

How India’s economy has fared under ten years of Narendra Modi

More than 960 million Indians will head to the polls in the worlds biggest election between April 19 and early June. The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is seeking a third...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Georgia is sliding towards autocracy after government moves to force through bill on ‘foreign agents’

Georgias ruling party attempted to pass a controversial bill on foreign agents in March 2023. The law would have required civil society groups and the media to register as being under foreign influence if they receive...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Toyota Motor Launches Trial for EV Pickups in Thailand

Toyota Motor Corporation launched the trial for its electric pickup trucks in Thailand. The Japanese automaker said its pilot project brought nine fully electric Hilux Revo pickups to key Thai market. According to...

Binance Reassures Filipino Users Amid SEC App Removal Request, Urges Balanced Review by Google and Apple

Following recent regulatory proceedings by the Philippine Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Binance has finally published a statement to its users regarding the removal request for its app from the Google Play...

Shiba Inu Announces Shibarium Hardfork: New Capabilities Teased, SHIB Price Jumps 3.2%

Shiba Inu has announced a transformative hardfork for its Shibarium platform, set for May 2, promising enhanced features and a surge in SHIBs price by 3.2% in response to the news. Shibarium Hardfork Set for May 2:...

Qualcomm Responds to Snapdragon X Elite Benchmark Cheating Claims

Qualcomm has responded to the serious allegations that it cheated on performance benchmarks for its Snapdragon X Elite and Plus chips, targeting competition with leading laptop processors. According to Toms Hardware,...
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