Mar 22, 2017 11:15 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views
RBNZ monetary policy is scheduled on 23rd March where OCR would be decided. We expect NZD to fall through this year, reaching 0.63 against the USD and below 72.620 level at year-end, falling real rates and tightening...
FxWirePro: Diagonal Credit Call Spreads to hedge USD/TRY’s momentary dips on Fed and CBT’s tipoffs
Mar 20, 2017 12:27 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary
CBT holds its March rate in the recent meeting: we do not expect the Turkish CB to raise its benchmark repo rate from 8%. CBT is unlikely to touch any other rate either, besides the late liquidity lending rate, which we...
FxWirePro: Hedging European political risk - Buy EUR/JPY 3m one-touch vanilla
Mar 20, 2017 06:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis
The FX euro vol market is complacent compared to the bond market, seeing the resilient 10y OAT-Bund spread. This relief offers an attractive entry point to hedge a large euro downside move via options. The 3m downside skew...
FxWirePro: Buying cheap downside vega amid French election
Mar 17, 2017 12:31 pm UTC| Research & Analysis
FX volatility is easing off following the March Fed hike and the reduction in political risk, following the defeat of the populist candidate in the Netherlands and a wider bookmakers spread between Macron and Le Pen (refer...
Mar 17, 2017 11:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis
The structural case for SEK appreciation remains intact the real effective exchange rate is 10-11% below its long-term average despite an economy that has a positive output gap and which continues to deliver above-trend...
FxWirePro: GBP/JPY implied vols regime – Positively skewed 2m IVs conducive for OTM put holders
Mar 17, 2017 07:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis
Please be noted that the 2m implied volatilities of GBPJPY are spiking above 10.60% ahead of above-mentioned data events, while positively skewed IVs signifies the hedging interests in OTM put strikes. In spite of...
FxWirePro: GBP/JPY “Diagonal Option Strips” for vol convexity and major data events
Mar 17, 2017 07:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis
Data schedules: In theUK: House of Lords on Brexit bill. Article 50 invoked (mid-end-March). SNP conference Mar17-18. Brexit talks. CPI (Mar 21), retail sales (Mar 23), foreign Gilt flows (Mar 29), PMI (manufacturing...