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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: RBNZ's steady real rates to favor option writers, NZD/JPY short leg on overpriced calls in collar spreads to render economic hedging

Mar 22, 2017 11:15 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

RBNZ monetary policy is scheduled on 23rd March where OCR would be decided. We expect NZD to fall through this year, reaching 0.63 against the USD and below 72.620 level at year-end, falling real rates and tightening...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Diagonal Credit Call Spreads to hedge USD/TRY’s momentary dips on Fed and CBT’s tipoffs

Mar 20, 2017 12:27 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

CBT holds its March rate in the recent meeting: we do not expect the Turkish CB to raise its benchmark repo rate from 8%. CBT is unlikely to touch any other rate either, besides the late liquidity lending rate, which we...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedging European political risk - Buy EUR/JPY 3m one-touch vanilla

Mar 20, 2017 06:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The FX euro vol market is complacent compared to the bond market, seeing the resilient 10y OAT-Bund spread. This relief offers an attractive entry point to hedge a large euro downside move via options. The 3m downside skew...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Buying cheap downside vega amid French election

Mar 17, 2017 12:31 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

FX volatility is easing off following the March Fed hike and the reduction in political risk, following the defeat of the populist candidate in the Netherlands and a wider bookmakers spread between Macron and Le Pen (refer...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Does Riksbank impede Swedish Krona’s appreciation? Stay short via vanilla puts to arrest EUR/SEK’s downside risks

Mar 17, 2017 11:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The structural case for SEK appreciation remains intact the real effective exchange rate is 10-11% below its long-term average despite an economy that has a positive output gap and which continues to deliver above-trend...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY implied vols regime – Positively skewed 2m IVs conducive for OTM put holders

Mar 17, 2017 07:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Please be noted that the 2m implied volatilities of GBPJPY are spiking above 10.60% ahead of above-mentioned data events, while positively skewed IVs signifies the hedging interests in OTM put strikes. In spite of...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GBP/JPY “Diagonal Option Strips” for vol convexity and major data events

Mar 17, 2017 07:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Data schedules: In theUK: House of Lords on Brexit bill. Article 50 invoked (mid-end-March). SNP conference Mar17-18. Brexit talks. CPI (Mar 21), retail sales (Mar 23), foreign Gilt flows (Mar 29), PMI (manufacturing...

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Economy

Bank of England Expected to Hold Interest Rates at 3.75% as Inflation Remains Elevated

The Bank of England is widely expected to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75% during its February policy meeting, according to a recent Reuters poll of economists. All but two of the 56 economists surveyed...

OCBC Raises Gold Price Forecast to $5,600 as Structural Demand and Uncertainty Persist

OCBC Bank has revised its gold price forecast higher, projecting that bullion could reach $5,600 per ounce by the end of 2026, up from its earlier estimate of $4,800 per ounce. The updated outlook reflects the banks...

Thailand Economy Forecast Holds Steady as Exports, Tourism Face Global Pressures

Thailand Economy Forecast Holds Steady as Exports, Tourism Face Global Pressures Thailands economy is expected to grow by 2.0% this year, according to the finance ministry, which maintained its previous economic growth...

China’s Lending to Developing Countries Declines as Debt Repayments Rise, New Data Shows

Chinas position as a major financier to developing nations has undergone a significant shift over the past decade, according to new analysis released by the ONE Data initiative. Once a dominant source of development...

Gold Prices Surge to Record Highs Amid Trade Fears and Geopolitical Tensions

Gold prices climbed sharply in Asian trading on Tuesday, extending a rally that has pushed bullion to a series of record highs. The surge reflects growing investor anxiety over U.S. trade policies under President Donald...

Politics

UK Politicians Call for Full Competition Review of Netflix’s Warner Bros Discovery Deal

More than a dozen UK politicians and former policymakers have urged the countrys competition watchdog to carry out a full and detailed review of Netflixs proposed acquisition of Warner Bros Discovery, according to a report...

EU-India Trade Deal Offers European Carmakers a New Opening in India’s Competitive Auto Market

European carmakers facing mounting pressure from U.S. tariffs and intense price competition in China are set to gain modest relief from a landmark EU-India trade deal that significantly reduces import duties on cars. The...

Trump Raises Tariffs on South Korean Autos, Escalating Trade Tensions Despite Prior Deal

U.S. President Donald Trump announced a sharp increase in tariffs on South Korean autos and other goods, intensifying trade tensions with one of Washingtons closest allies. The move, revealed on Monday, raises tariffs from...

Philippines and U.S. Conduct Joint Naval Exercises at Scarborough Shoal Amid South China Sea Tensions

The Philippine and United States militaries conducted a joint sail and maritime exercises this week at the disputed Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea, underscoring the growing defense cooperation between the two...

Israel Recovers Remains of Last Gaza Hostage, Advancing U.S.-Backed Plan to End War

Israel announced on Monday that it has recovered the remains of Ran Gvili, the last remaining Israeli hostage held in Gaza, marking a major milestone in ongoing efforts to end the war in the Palestinian territory. The...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Alibaba-Backed Moonshot AI Unveils Kimi K2.5 to Challenge China’s AI Rivals

Alibaba-backed Chinese artificial intelligence startup Moonshot AI has officially released Kimi K2.5, the latest iteration of its flagship large language model, marking a significant step forward in Chinas fast-growing AI...

ASML’s EUV Monopoly Powers the Global AI Chip Boom

As artificial intelligence companies race to secure Nvidia chips to fuel the AI boom, Dutch semiconductor equipment maker ASML has cemented its position as one of the most critical players in the global chip supply chain....

California Governor Gavin Newsom Launches Review Into Alleged TikTok Content Suppression After U.S. Ownership Deal

California Governor Gavin Newsom has accused TikTok of suppressing content critical of President Donald Trump, prompting a state-level review into the platforms content moderation practices to determine whether they...

Micron to Expand Memory Chip Manufacturing Capacity in Singapore Amid Global Shortage

U.S. memory chip maker Micron Technology is preparing to announce a major new manufacturing capacity investment in Singapore, signaling an aggressive expansion to meet surging global demand for memory chips. According to...

Microsoft Wins Approval to Build 15 New Data Centers in Wisconsin

Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) has taken another major step in expanding its data center footprint after receiving unanimous approval from local officials in Mount Pleasant, Wisconsin, to build 15 additional data...
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