FxWirePro: CNH seems fragile in Q2’2017 - Option strategies on hedging grounds
Mar 15, 2017 12:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis
We now expect less CNY weakness in 1H 2017 but keep the year-end target at 7.10as renminbi depreciation against USD remains modest this year, even as the market has turned more bullish USD recently. If the PBoC continues...
FxWirePro: Swedish Krona to appreciate but in snail’s pace – Do EUR/SEK bears need "covered put"?
Mar 15, 2017 11:51 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis
Sell a put against existing cash short in EURSEK. Stay short NZDSEK in options The structural case for SEK appreciation remains intact the real effective exchange rate is 10-11% below its long term average despite an...
FxWirePro: Fetch RVs in Scandis crosses – Stay hedged via options to arrest European political risks
Mar 15, 2017 11:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis
There is scope for more concession for political risk in European currencies. EUR still screens near fair value on this framework, indicating that there is room for further weakening if political risks intensify heading...
Mar 15, 2017 11:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis
Please be noted that the neutral IVs in USDCAD are creeping up a tad above 7.5%, the tepid implied volatilities of ATM contracts across all tenors are favorable for option writers. While the risk reversals, for now,...
FxWirePro: Hedge fragile cable via vanilla put ahead of risk events
Mar 15, 2017 07:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis
The bearish GBP scenario: 1) Growth slows below 1% as inflation checks a spend-thrift consumer and business investment fades pre-Brexit, 2) Outright capital repatriation from slower moving long-term investors...
Mar 15, 2017 06:27 am UTC| Research & Analysis
GBP is the second worst-performing currency over the past two weeks as evidence cumulates of a broad-based loss in economic momentum(the TWI has lost 3%to 1% below the 6m average). The economy was a support for GBP through...
FxWirePro: Damocles sword hanging over Mexican peso, FEC offers hedging mechanism
Mar 14, 2017 13:10 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views
The recent US rhetoric has eased some NAFTA anxiety. Comments from US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and Commence Secretary Ross have eased some of the anxiety that had built around the NAFTA renegotiation, a Damocles sword...