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In this exclusive series, we cover on negative rates and its fallacies and implications on global economy. Two fundamental ideas underlying this series are (1) the world may have moved from a positive carry to a negative carry and (2) negative rates are contradictory.

Negative Rates Series

Bank of Japan likely to lower rates further into negative territory in June and H2 2016

Feb 23, 2016 09:12 am UTC| Commentary

The Bank of Japan in January adopted negative interest rates. It introduced a three-tier interest rate system that splits the Bank of Japans balance of current account in three parts and applies different interest rates on...

Negative Rates Series

Negative rates addiction, confusion and absurdities series: vaults in fashion

Feb 22, 2016 11:24 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As central banks around the world embrace negative rates, fear among public is moving up regarding the issue. Last week, newspapers from Japan reported that people are looking to store or park money elsewhere. Some are...

Negative Rates Series

Currency War Series

CHF value justifies further SNB action?

Feb 19, 2016 14:41 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Despite the turmoil in the global equity markets, the Swiss Franc has remained on a weakening trend since the start of the year. The temporary strength seen in early February on volatility and Fed re-pricing is unlikely to...

Negative Rates Series

Japan machinery orders: More bad news for Mr. Kuroda

Feb 17, 2016 11:41 am UTC| Commentary

Bank of Japan (BOJ) governor Haruhiko Kuroda might be having worst of times in his tenure as the governor, since good news for him are so scarce these days. Since yesterday, Yen has remained quite well bid, raising the...

Negative Rates Series

Japanese economy back in contraction zone

Feb 15, 2016 05:46 am UTC| Commentary Economy

2015 didnt end well for Japan and BOJ too. According to latest estimate released Japans economy shrank in final quarter of 2015 and more than it was expected. AQs per latest data, Japans GDP shrank by 0.4% in fourth...

Negative Rates Series

FED hike aftermath series: probability of negative rates from FED is on the rise

Feb 11, 2016 08:37 am UTC| Commentary

Addicted to negative. Bets in financial markets are slowly creeping up that FED will be following Bank of Japan (BOJ), European Central Bank (ECB), and Swiss National Bank (SNB) to follow into the territory of negative...

Negative Rates Series

Currency War Series

SNB unlikely to cut rates further

Dec 21, 2015 07:08 am UTC| Commentary

Since EUR/CHF stepped up into higher range in July/August, it has been trading around 1.07 to 1.10, which leaves USD/CHF determined by EUR/USD. After the ECB meeting, SNB also held off from easing. It is still...

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Economy

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

China’s new world order: looking for clues from Xi’s recent meetings with foreign leaders

There is broad consensus that Chinese foreign policy has become more assertive and more centralised in the decade since Xi Jinping has ascended to the top of Chinas leadership. This has also meant that Chinese foreign...

How India’s economy has fared under ten years of Narendra Modi

More than 960 million Indians will head to the polls in the worlds biggest election between April 19 and early June. The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which is led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is seeking a third...

Will global oil supply be at risk if Iran and Israel pull the Middle East into war?

Tensions in the Middle East have escalated following Irans weekend missile and drone attacks on Israel, heightening concerns of a wider conflict. As with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, further conflict has the...

EU enlargement: What does the future hold?

To widen or to deepen. This has been one of the longstanding dilemmas throughout European Union (EU) history, and a perennial sticking point in the unending process of European integration. In its time, the UK...

Politics

Georgia is sliding towards autocracy after government moves to force through bill on ‘foreign agents’

Georgias ruling party attempted to pass a controversial bill on foreign agents in March 2023. The law would have required civil society groups and the media to register as being under foreign influence if they receive...

South Korean President Yoon faces foreign policy challenges after the National Assembly election

South Koreas parliamentary election of April 10, 2024, was widely seen as a referendum on President Yoon Suk Yeols first two years in office. That being the case, the nation collectively expressed its strong...

How will US foreign policy affect Joe Biden’s chances of re-election in November?

When big questions about American foreign policy collide with an election, its rarely good news for a sitting president. Like many leaders before him, US President Joe Biden has had some of these questions thrust on...

US Commerce Secretary Asserts Huawei Chip Lag, Affirms Export Control Success

In an interview on CBS News 60 Minutes, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo stated that the latest Huawei Mate 60 Pro phones chip remains significantly behind U.S. technology despite being the most advanced from China. She...

‘We have thousands of Modis’: the secret behind the BJP’s enduring success in India

Since 2014, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modis popularity has grown exponentially and so has the formidable organisational machine of his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). These two factors will be key to delivering the BJP...

Science

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

If life exists on Jupiter’s moon Europa, scientists might soon be able to detect it

Europa is one of the largest of more than 90 moons in orbit around the planet Jupiter. It is also one of the best places to look for alien life. Often termed an ocean world by scientists, observations to date strongly...

Technology

U.S. SEC Set to Reject Spot Ether ETFs in May Amid Regulatory Hurdles

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is expected to deny approval for spot Ether ETFs in May, continuing a cautious stance amid unresolved regulatory clarity, according to industry insiders. SEC Set to Delay...

Mercedes-Benz to Release Luxury Electric Van in China

Mercedes-Benz, the German luxury and commercial vehicle manufacturer, plans to release a luxury electric van model in China. This information was shared by the companys head of the vans unit, Mathias Geisen, to the local...

Samourai Wallet Founders Arrested, Crypto Markets Tumble Amid Regulatory Heat

The cryptocurrency market dipped significantly after the U.S. Department of Justice arrested Samourai Wallets CEO and CTO, exacerbating volatility amid geopolitical tensions and the recent Bitcoin halving. Bitcoin and...

Post-Halving Surge: Standard Chartered Predicts Bitcoin to Hit $150K on Reduced Market Leverage

Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered Banks analyst and head of digital assets research, believes bitcoin (BTC) would likely trend upward following the halving due to lower leveraged market positions. In an interview with...
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