Continued deterioration in Brazil's macro economy and financial conditions
Oct 19, 2015 12:19 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
Both the macro economy and financial conditions of Brazil have further deteriorated since the September Copom meeting. On the growth front, August retail sales and labour market developments were worse than expected...
China's deflationary risks hints further monetary easing
Oct 19, 2015 12:15 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
Chinas CPI inflation came in lower than expected at 1.6% y/y for September, down from 2.0% in August, driven mainly by food prices. Core inflation moderated by 10bp to 1.6% y/y. PPI deflation remained deeply negative at...
China's domestic sectors to show resilience
Oct 18, 2015 22:28 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
The flash PMI reports for October will offer a first hint of just how much a toll the slowdown in emerging economies, and not least China, it taking on the real global economy. It is notable, moreover, that in some...
Oct 18, 2015 20:32 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
After a volatile week for GBP crosses, this week will be relatively quiet on the data front and, as such, the catalyst for a continuation of last weeks EURGBP downtrend would likely be the ECB. A dovish ECB press...
US August JOLTS data mirror softening in payroll growth
Oct 16, 2015 15:17 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
The US Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) reported total job openings fell to 5.370mn in August, down from the revised July estimate of 5.668mn and below consensus expectations (5.580mn). The 298k decline was...
TAX receipts show US economy healthy
Oct 16, 2015 10:13 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy
While all the focus is on payroll numbers or weak inflation pushing rate hike expectation from FED further into the future. However one measure is showing that US economy may not be roaring but more than humming and...
Downside risks to Euro area inflation outlook in focus
Oct 16, 2015 06:33 am UTC| Commentary Economy
The recent string of shocks (China, equity market corrections, VW) has brought sizeable downside risks to confidence and the economic outlook. In the recent data, the German August industrial data are probably the most...