FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/BRL hedging cost optimization via calendar spread as quasi-protected short gamma

Aug 02, 2016 12:50 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Realized vols in USD/BRL have been steadily edging lower over the past few weeks but holding stronger near 3.20 levels, and gamma screens rich despite the material 3 vol+ decline in implieds since the Brexit vote 1M...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Can Riksbank factor GDP in September or still dubious on inflation – Hedge SEK’s appreciating risks in Q3 and Q4

Aug 02, 2016 12:34 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

EURSEK has continued higher over the last month, trading a shy below 9.60, which is the highest level seen since last autumn. The growth in Sweden is solid and inflation has risen. Despite the positive trend, the...

Markets bet on another RBA rate cut in early 2017

Aug 02, 2016 12:18 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Earlier on Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided to cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a record low level of 1.50 percent. The decision was largely in-line with market expectations. The...

FxWirePro: Yen vols duly rolled over owing to underwhelming BoJ but IVs likely to intensify during September meeting

Aug 02, 2016 11:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Wise to note that 1M USDJPY ATMs fell from 15.0 pre-meeting to 11.5, significantly undershooting the 1-day forward vol prediction (11.85) despite a 1.5% spot decline on the day, which ought to have provided a modicum of...

FxWirePro: UK PMIs seem to threaten GBP’s prospects, MPC of BOE response crucial stimulus for 1W IVs of sterling crosses

Aug 02, 2016 09:24 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

Before we begin, lets recall as to how the Bank of England confused the markets in previous MPS. There was awidespread surprise when the MPC chose to leave rates unchanged at the 14 July meeting. But we needed wait no...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Cable skew normalised too much but tail risk still on cards – Stay hedged with zero or reduced cost ahead of BOE meet

Aug 02, 2016 07:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Needless to specify, GBP vols have still been flying with sky rocketed pace no matter what both prior and post-Brexit events, but this time these IVs are also owing to BOEs monetary policy decision, however, the contracts...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Good to stay hedged in Aussie export payable regardless of DA and DP or sight and tenor LCs

Aug 02, 2016 07:03 am UTC| Insights & Views

Weve recently seen that the Australias trade deficit widened sharply to AUD3.2bn in June from a revised AUD2.4bn in May. Even though the Aussie exporters have the proper financial arrangements placed with letters of...