Philippines' BSP Holds Rates Steady, Signals 50bps Cut Amid Global Uncertainty

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) kept its policy rate unchanged, citing global uncertainties, with Governor Eli Remolona hinting at possible 50 basis point cuts in 2025.

The unexpected decision reflects concerns over global trade tensions. Remolona told CNBC, “We’re hedging to avoid reversing course. We aim to stay on an easing trajectory.” On One News TV, he added that pausing now was less disruptive than cutting prematurely and backtracking.

The move follows U.S. President Donald Trump’s call for reciprocal tariffs, heightening trade war risks and inflation concerns. While Remolona noted limited direct impact from U.S. policies, he warned of significant global spillover effects.

The Philippine economy, driven by domestic consumption, underperformed in Q4 2024. To address global uncertainties, the 2025 growth target widened to 6.0%-8.0% from 6.5%-7.5%.

The BSP will continue monitoring global trends and consult with peers before its next policy review on April 3. Investors await further signals on the central bank's easing path.