Dollar Holds Steady Ahead of U.S. CPI as Oil Surge, Middle East Tensions Keep Markets on Edge 
Australian Business Conditions Hold Steady as Easing Cost Pressures Face New Oil Price Risks 
ECB's Kocher Says No Inflation Spillover Yet From Iran Conflict, Warns Risks Remain 
China Home Prices Fall Again in June Despite Slower Pace of Decline 
US Inflation Expected to Ease in June, but Fed Rate Hike Risks Persist Amid Middle East Tensions 
UBS Boosts China Tech Bets, Adds Kuaishou and Meituan to Focus List 
Asian Stocks Slide as Chip Selloff Deepens Ahead of TSMC Earnings 
U.S. Imposes 25% Tariff on Select Brazilian Imports After Section 301 Trade Investigation 
China Trade Surplus Hits $125.6 Billion as June Exports, Imports Smash Forecasts 
Goldman Sees Foreign Investors Driving India Stock Market Recovery 
Gold Price Holds Near Record High as Cooling U.S. Inflation Offsets Fed Caution 
China Q2 2026 GDP Misses Forecast as Weak Domestic Demand Offsets Export Strength 
Asian Stocks Rally as Cooling U.S. Inflation Boosts Fed Rate Cut Hopes 
Dollar Slides as Softer US Inflation Dims Fed Rate Hike Expectations 
IEA Warns China Rare Earth Export Curbs Could Threaten $6.5 Trillion in Global Production 
Japanese Yen Holds Steady as Intervention Hopes Grow Ahead of U.S. CPI Data 
Asian Stocks Rise as Softer U.S. Inflation Boosts Sentiment Despite Middle East Tensions 
The U.S. dollar remained broadly steady on Wednesday as global markets turned their attention to shifting interest rate expectations and a renewed appetite for risk. Investors are increasingly positioning for potential U.S. rate cuts in 2026, a trend that could weigh on the greenback over the coming years.
The Australian dollar briefly reached a three-week high at $0.6576 before easing after GDP figures came in slightly below forecasts. Meanwhile, the euro gained momentum, breaking above its 50-day moving average following euro zone inflation data that was marginally stronger than expected. Early in the Asian session, the euro traded around $1.1629, supported by improved sentiment.
A major driver of market confidence was bitcoin’s sharp rebound. The world’s largest cryptocurrency surged roughly 6%, climbing past $91,000 and encouraging broader risk-taking among investors.
The Japanese yen held steady at 155.70 per dollar, buoyed by growing expectations of a domestic rate hike this month. This stands in contrast to the United States, where markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Sterling traded at $1.3222, the Swiss franc remained firm at 0.8022 per dollar, and the New Zealand dollar hovered near $0.5730.
Looking ahead, analysts expect about 90 basis points of U.S. rate cuts before the end of 2026. Speculation is also building that White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett—known for favoring lower interest rates—could be nominated as the next Fed chair, a move that could further pressure the dollar.
Deutsche Bank strategist Tim Baker noted that December has historically been a weak month for the greenback, projecting a potential 2% decline. Analysts at OCBC share a similar outlook, anticipating a softer dollar as U.S. rate cuts narrow global yield differentials. Market veteran Brent Donnelly summed up sentiment, highlighting stretched dollar positioning and seasonal weakness, and revealing bullish positions on EUR/USD and NZD/USD pairs.
