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FxWirePro: NZD/USD rejected at 0.6661, stays supported above daily cloud

NZD/USD was rejected at day's highs by 0.6661, but remains supported above daily cloud (currently spanning 0.6534-0.6615). Weakness only below 0.6580 (trendline resistance), pair could then test next support at 0.65 leve…

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FxWirePro: NZD/USD rejected at 0.6661, stays supported above daily cloud
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NZD/USD was rejected at day's highs by 0.6661, but remains supported above daily cloud (currently spanning 0.6534-0.6615).

  • Weakness only below 0.6580 (trendline resistance), pair could then test next support at 0.65 levels.
     
  • Markets seem to have intensified expectations for the RBNZ to cut OCR this year, following a slump in NZ business confidence and inflation expectations. 
     
  • There is scope for RBNZ to ease twice this year, but markets have fully priced in only one cut, making further downside vulnerable.
     
  • Doji formation seen on Monday's candle, pair faded minor-recovery attempts and was rejected at highs at 0.6661 to currently trades around 0.6634 levels.
     
  • We expect the pair to continue trading sideways for the week in the range 0.6745-0.6565

 

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