Kamala Harris Surpasses Donald Trump in Iowa Poll, Driven by Women Voters
In a surprising turn, U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris has edged ahead of Republican Donald Trump in a recent Iowa poll, primarily due to strong support from likely women voters. According to a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, Harris leads with 47% to Trump’s 44%, a shift in a state Trump won easily in both 2016 and 2020.
Women Voters Shift Toward Harris
The poll, conducted among 808 likely voters from October 28-31, revealed a growing preference for Harris, especially among older women and independent voters. This change marks a significant shift since the previous Iowa Poll in September, where Trump held a 4-point lead. While the latest poll has a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points, the results reflect a notable trend.
Trump Campaign Dismisses Poll as an Outlier
The Trump campaign, however, questioned the poll’s reliability, labeling it a “clear outlier.” They cited an Emerson College poll, released on the same day, that showed Trump ahead by 10 points. This poll, conducted from November 1-2, also surveyed around 800 likely voters and had the same margin of error. It reported that Trump retains strong support among men and independent voters, while Harris has appeal among younger voters under 30.
Key Battleground State in Focus
Iowa's six electoral votes could be crucial in the upcoming election, where both candidates are closely matched nationally. With Election Day around the corner, both parties are focusing efforts on pivotal battleground states like Iowa, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania to secure a path to the required 270 electoral votes.
