Greater tolerance for CNY weakness against the USD is likely to support the ebbed capital outflows moving ahead. The outflows might have risen in November.
These are evidenced by a notable decline in PBoC FX Reserves of $87bn in November despite some valuation effect, a $35bn drop in net FX purchase option and a widened deficit in net FX sales to $55bn.
Adding to it, the recent hike by US Fedcould lead onshore corporate to accelerate their repayment of external borrowings. There is also scope for increased overseas investment by residents led by households necessity of risk diversification, and reduce home bias and seek higher returns.
"This could be facilitated by further financial liberalisation - ie, allow more outward portfolio investment through the planned QDII2 scheme, in our view", says Barclays in a research note.


Asian Stocks Slip as Tech Rout Deepens, Japan Steadies Ahead of Election
South Africa Eyes ECB Repo Lines as Inflation Eases and Rate Cuts Loom
Dollar Steadies Ahead of ECB and BoE Decisions as Markets Turn Risk-Off
Trump Lifts 25% Tariff on Indian Goods in Strategic U.S.–India Trade and Energy Deal
South Korea Assures U.S. on Trade Deal Commitments Amid Tariff Concerns
Dollar Near Two-Week High as Stock Rout, AI Concerns and Global Events Drive Market Volatility
Silver Prices Plunge in Asian Trade as Dollar Strength Triggers Fresh Precious Metals Sell-Off
Gold and Silver Prices Rebound After Volatile Week Triggered by Fed Nomination
Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran
Japan Economy Poised for Q4 2025 Growth as Investment and Consumption Hold Firm




