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Swiss Inflation Hits 0% in April, Boosting Rate Cut Expectations

Swiss Inflation Hits 0% in April, Boosting Rate Cut Expectations. Source: Roland zh, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Swiss inflation unexpectedly fell to 0% in April, according to official data released Monday, increasing the chances of another interest rate cut by the Swiss National Bank (SNB). This marks a significant slowdown from the 0.3% year-on-year rise reported in both February and March, placing the inflation rate at the bottom of the SNB’s target range of 0% to 2%.

Analysts had forecast a modest 0.2% increase in April, but stagnant consumer prices suggest weakening inflationary pressure in the Swiss economy. The zero-growth figure underscores easing price momentum and may support the SNB’s dovish policy stance amid global monetary easing trends.

With inflation now firmly below expectations, market observers anticipate the SNB could move forward with an additional rate cut as early as June. The central bank already surprised markets in March by becoming the first major institution to reduce rates this cycle, trimming its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.5%.

Switzerland's low inflation is largely attributed to stable energy prices and subdued domestic demand, reflecting broader concerns about economic growth in the region. If the current trend persists, the SNB may prioritize monetary stimulus to bolster consumption and stabilize price growth.

The April data strengthens the argument for continued monetary easing and positions Switzerland as a frontrunner in the global shift toward lower interest rates. Investors and currency markets are now closely watching the SNB’s next policy meeting for further guidance.

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