While all the focus is on payroll numbers or weak inflation pushing rate hike expectation from FED further into the future. However one measure is showing that US economy may not be roaring but more than humming and recovery is solid.
- Government budget deficit, which is the difference between government expenditure and tax revenue collected dropped to lowest level since 2007,
- It has narrowed to $439 billion, or 2.5% of GDP, for 12 months to end September, compared to $483 billion a year ago.
According to treasury department, lesser gap was achieved thanks to 8% rise in tax revenue to $3.25 trillion from a year ago.
- According to the treasury, stronger economy led to higher income for individuals and higher profits for corporates, which led to rise in payroll taxes as well as revenue from business.
However, US economy is still running large deficit, which needs to be financed by large issuance of treasury debt and if the congress fails to increase the debt limit by November 3rd, US economy is heading for is first default.


Asian Stocks Mixed as BOJ Holds Rates, Oil Prices and Fed Outlook Weigh on Markets
Gold Prices Drop Amid Iran War Concerns, Rising Oil Costs, and Hawkish Central Bank Signals
Australia Inflation Surges in March as Fuel Prices Spike Amid Middle East Conflict
Chinese Chip Stocks Surge on AI Boom and Domestic Tech Push
Oil Price Forecasts Rise for 2026 as Middle East Supply Risks Persist
Trump Urges Iran to Call for Talks as War Stalemate Disrupts Oil Markets
Asian Markets Mixed as Fed Decision, Iran Tensions, and Inflation Data Weigh on Sentiment
U.S. and EU Strengthen Critical Minerals Partnership to Reduce China Dependence
BOJ Holds Interest Rates at 0.75% as Policymakers Signal Growing Inflation Concerns
Kevin Warsh Advances Toward Fed Chair Role Amid Political Tensions
This fuel crisis could last for a while. It’s time for a new approach to fuel use - end it 



