India Budget 2025 Highlights Manufacturing Push but Falls Short of Market Expectations 
China Manufacturing PMI Slips Into Contraction in January as Weak Demand Pressures Economy 
Asian Markets Slide as Silver Volatility, Earnings Season, and Central Bank Meetings Rattle Investors 
JPMorgan Lifts Gold Price Forecast to $6,300 by End-2026 on Strong Central Bank and Investor Demand 
U.S. Government Faces Brief Shutdown as Congress Delays Funding Deal 
Canada’s Trade Deficit Jumps in November as Exports Slide and Firms Diversify Away From U.S. 
EU Recovery Fund Faces Bottlenecks Despite Driving Digital and Green Projects 
Russia Stocks End Flat as MOEX Closes Unchanged Amid Mixed Global Signals 
Asian Currencies Hold Firm as Dollar Rebounds on Fed Chair Nomination Hopes 
Dollar Holds Firm as Markets Weigh Warsh-Led Fed and Yen Weakness Ahead of Japan Election 
China Factory Activity Slips in January as Weak Demand Weighs on Growth Outlook 
BOJ Policymakers Warn Weak Yen Could Fuel Inflation Risks and Delay Rate Action 
Gold Prices Stabilize in Asian Trade After Sharp Weekly Losses Amid Fed Uncertainty 
Wall Street Slides as Warsh Fed Nomination, Hot Inflation, and Precious Metals Rout Shake Markets 
U.S. Stock Futures Slip as Markets Brace for Big Tech Earnings and Key Data 
South Korea Factory Activity Hits 18-Month High as Export Demand Surges 
US Dollar Stable as Market Awaits US Inflation and Fed Insights
The US dollar opened cautiously on Monday, reflecting market anticipation for upcoming US inflation data and insights from Federal Reserve speakers. Meanwhile, China’s recent stimulus package has left the yuan subdued, impacting the currencies of key trading partners.
China’s Economic Signals Raise Concerns
Data released over the weekend highlighted China’s economic struggles, with consumer price growth at a four-month low and producer price deflation worsening. Retail sales and industrial output reports, expected this Friday, will reveal whether Beijing’s stimulus efforts are affecting domestic demand. Underwhelming results from these measures saw the Australian and New Zealand dollars decline on Friday, as both countries depend heavily on Chinese exports.
Currency Movements and Fed Influence
The dollar hovered near 7.1970 yuan and could soon test the 7.2000 mark. In limited US trading due to a bond market holiday, the dollar rose by 0.1% against the yen, reaching 152.90. The dollar index saw a slight uptick, sitting at 105.00 after a 0.6% gain last week, with the euro stable at $1.0711, facing resistance around $1.0667.
European and US Policy Impact
The euro is under pressure amid Germany’s political uncertainties, as Chancellor Olaf Scholz considers a confidence vote that could lead to early elections. Market attention is also on the US Federal Reserve, with Chair Jerome Powell and other officials scheduled to speak this week. Investors are watching for signals on future rate adjustments as inflation data could influence Fed policy in December.
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