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U.S. Treasuries surge on safe-haven demand ahead of FOMC members’ speeches

The U.S. Treasuries surged on global demand for safe-haven instruments and as investors await the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members Dudley, Evans and Kashkari’s speech, scheduled to be held today by 12:30GMT, 16:40GMT and 22:30GMT respectively.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell 1-1/2 basis points to 2.24 percent, the super-long 30-year bond yields also suffered by 1-1/2 basis points to 2.79 percent and the yield on short-term 2-year note traded flat at 1.44 percent by 12:25GMT.

Angela Merkel won a fourth term as German chancellor in Sunday’s federal election, in line with expectations. Yet, Angela Markel’s CDU/CSU alliance secured just 33% of the vote, the second-lowest since 1948 and below c. 36% recent opinion polls suggested. The SDP took 20.5% , its worst performance ever with Martin Schultz announcing that his party will go into opposition, presumably in an attempt  to rebuild  its credibility.

The so-called ‘Jamaica’ coalition seems to be the most likely scenario consisting of CDU/CSU, FDP and the Greens. In reaction to the German election outcome, the EUR came under some pressure and EMU sovereign debt spreads undertook some widening on the view that the FDP, a potential coalition partner in the new German government, is firmly against any further EU integration. Looking at this week’s calendar, focus is on a numerous Fed and ECB speakers including ECB President Mario Draghi on Monday and Fed Chair Janet Yellen on Tuesday. On the data front, inflation data from the euro area and the US both on Friday, lure market attention.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Futures traded 0.06 percent lower at 2,498.12 by 12:30GMT, while at 12:00GMT, the FxWirePro's Hourly Dollar Strength Index remained slightly bullish at 95.86 (a reading above +75 indicates a bullish trend, while that below -75 a bearish trend). For more details, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex

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