Menu

Search

  |   Insights & Views

Menu

  |   Insights & Views

Search

Google Add as a preferred source on Google

US inflation preview

Today's release of Consumer price index (CPI) numbers will be most watched by traders and investors. CPI is scheduled to be released at 12:30 GMT.

Why important?

  • FED's dual mandate is price stability and maximum employment. However, Unemployment rate has now reached 5.5% in US, which is considered as very close to long term level. That leaves inflation to be most vital for first rate hike as well as path.

Past trends -

  • CPI fell to negative territory in later half of 2014. In January CPI fell by -0.7%, mostly due to lower energy prices. CPI fell by -0.1% YoY.

  • Core CPI so far has managed to keep its head above zero throughout last year. Core CPI grew by 0.2% in January and 1.6% YoY.

Expectation today -

  • CPI is expected to rise by 0.2% mom and -0.1% yearly basis.

  • Core CPI is expected to
    remain subdued but positive growing 0.1%.

Impact -

  • FOMC participants has reduced flashed their forecast for inflation in 2015 last week, however weaker data is not expected to bode well for US dollar and treasury yields.

  • Market participants might push rate hike expectation further, should the core CPI fall below zero bound.

Dollar index is currently trading at 96.8, down 0.2% today.

  • Market Data
Close

Welcome to EconoTimes

Sign up for daily updates for the most important
stories unfolding in the global economy.