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FxWirePro: Brazilian Lira Seems Edgy On BCB Rate Cut Speculation – Hedge USD/BRL Via Optionality

Apr 21, 2020 15:19 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Following its last rate meeting the Brazilian central bank did not give the impression that it was going to cut interest rates further. In March it had cut its key rate by 50bp to 3.75% and had said in its statement that...

FxWirePro: Bearish/Bullish Driving Forces of GBPJPY, OTC Updates And Hedging Perspectives Ahead of UK PMIs And BoJ MPS

Apr 21, 2020 09:07 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Bearish GBPJPY Scenarios: 1) The UK-EU fail to agree on a trade deal and the UK exits the transition period on WTO terms (GBPUSD to 1.20, potentially 1.10). 2) The economic lockdown is extended into June, delaying...

FxWirePro: CBR’s Cushions Ruble Momentarily Through FX Reserve – Uphold USD/RUB Options Positions

Apr 20, 2020 14:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

CBR governor Elvira Nabiullina held a press conference last Friday, where she de facto confirmed that the central bank was ready to resume cutting rates. This is significant because CBR had paused rate cuts last month...

FxWIrePro: EUR/JPY Hedging Strategies Ahead of EU Summit And BoJ Monetary Policy

Apr 20, 2020 10:36 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Today, the measures to combat the coronavirus in Germany will be eased for the first time. Further steps in this direction should follow. This will also shift the focus on the markets away from the extent of the slump...

FxWirePro: Turkish Lira On Verge Of Retesting All-Time Lows Despite CBT Intervention – Uphold USD/TRY Debit Call Spreads

Apr 17, 2020 13:09 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

USDTRY has been edging ever closer to the 7.00 mark as predicted in our recent post despite the central bank combatting the trend using indirect FX interventions. CBTs own FX reserves have fallen to a low c.$27bn in net...

FxWirePro: Is Sterling Disregarding Stimulus From BoE And UK Govt? Reactivation of GBP/USD Shorts

Apr 17, 2020 08:56 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Economy Insights & Views

Short GBPUSD is the preferred candidate to raise our long USD, defensive exposure once again after the rounds of profit-takes of recent weeks. As evident from the above diagram, cable has retraced from its lows more...

FxWirePro: India To Roll-Out NDFs For INR As RBI Intervenes Offshore Market

Apr 15, 2020 13:04 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) should be given some credit in exploring new avenues to manage the currency and market volatility. In the emergency meeting two weeks ago on 27-March, RBI slashed rates by 75bp to 4.40% and...

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Economy

European Stocks Flat as Oil Prices Rise, US CPI in Focus

European stocks were little changed on Monday, holding close to record highs as rising crude oil prices and continued uncertainty over Middle East shipping routes offset optimism following last weeks strong market rally....

S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Rise as Iran Risks and CPI Loom

U.S. stock futures edged higher Monday as investors weighed escalating tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz while preparing for crucial U.S. inflation data later this week. SP 500 futures gained about 0.1%,...

Goldman Sachs Sees US Stock Buybacks Outpacing Equity Issuance as AI Funding Rises

Goldman Sachs expects corporate demand for U.S. equities to remain stronger than new share supply this year, despite a significant recovery in follow-on equity issuance driven partly by artificial intelligence investment....

South Korean Won Leads Asian FX Losses as Dollar Rises

The South Korean won led declines across Asian currencies on Monday as the U.S. dollar strengthened, while the Japanese yen retreated after giving up some of its intervention-driven gains. The U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.18%...

Oil Prices Rise as Hormuz Reopening Remains Uncertain

Oil prices climbed on Monday as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continued to support the market, despite Iran and Oman moving closer to an agreement on new shipping routes through the strategic...

Politics

South Korea, US Set Major Military Drills for August

South Korea and the United States will hold their annual Ulchi Freedom Shield (UFS) military drills from August 17 to 27, with this years exercises placing greater emphasis on countering drones, GPS interference and...

US ‘Digging In’ Across Indo-Pacific, Pentagon Official Says

The United States remains firmly committed to the Indo-Pacific and has no plans to withdraw from Asia, a senior Pentagon official said Monday, while urging regional allies to take greater responsibility for their own...

Myanmar Rejects ASEAN Special Envoy, Challenges Regional Peace Plan

Myanmars military-backed government has rejected the continued role of ASEANs special envoy, deepening tensions with the regional bloc as Thailand pushes for Myanmar to fully re-engage with Southeast Asian nations....

Houthi Attack on Yemen’s Mocha Port Kills Seven, Injures 30

Seven people were killed and 30 others wounded after Houthi forces launched a large-scale drone and missile attack on Yemens Red Sea port city of Mocha, according to the Yemeni military. In a statement issued early Monday,...

Germany Warns of Daily Hybrid Warfare Threats

Germany is facing foreign hybrid warfare operations on a daily basis, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt has warned after authorities discovered an explosive-carrying drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport. Dobrindt said hostile...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Apple Tests China’s CXMT Memory Chips for iPhones and MacBooks Amid AI Supply Crunch

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is reportedly testing memory chips from Chinese semiconductor manufacturer CXMT Corp as the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure puts increasing pressure on global memory...

Sony, TSMC Eye $6.3 Billion Japan Chip Venture for Next-Gen Image Sensors

Sony Group and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) are reportedly preparing to invest about 1 trillion yen ($6.32 billion) in a new Japanese semiconductor venture focused on next-generation chips for image...

Nvidia Seen Beating Q2 Targets as Vera Rubin Cycle Begins

Nvidia (NVDA) could enter a multi-quarter growth cycle as shipments of its next-generation Vera Rubin AI chips begin, with BofA Global Research forecasting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and maintaining a bullish...

OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks

OpenAI has reportedly restricted parts of the development of its next-generation AI model, code-named Astra, after early evaluations indicated the system could potentially carry out sophisticated cyberattacks with limited...

Nvidia to Invest Up to $3 Billion in Blackstone-Backed Lancium

Nvidia is reportedly preparing to invest as much as $3 billion in Lancium, a Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer involved in the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure initiative, as demand for...
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