FxWirePro: EUR/GBP Wedged Between ECB’s Dovish Rhetoric and Hard-Brexit Fear – Directional Hedging Vehicle

Aug 22, 2019 08:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

EURGBPs 1-year forecast at 0.84 level reflects modest underperformance vs forwards. The near-term bearish stance remains the highest conviction part of the view. Despite the softer data, the easing regime-shift by the...

BoC likely to adopt rate cut in autumn, CAD seen easing in short-term: Commerzbank

Aug 21, 2019 09:40 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Bank of Canada (BoC) is expected to adopt a rate cut in autumn so that markets would not be surprised if the central bank were to adjust its wording next week, with CAD easing short term, according to the latest...

ECB likely to cut deposit rate by 10bp in September meeting; prepares new stimulus: says Rabobank

Aug 19, 2019 17:54 pm UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Finally, the speculation that Lagarde might lose her ECB nomination should Von der Leyen have failed to cross the line can also be put to rest, even though the European Parliament still has to official confirm her as ECB...

Fed likely to deliver 25bp cut at each of the next five meetings, says Danske Bank

Aug 16, 2019 11:04 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver a 25bp cut at each of the next five meetings; the target range would also be most likely lowered to 0.75-1.00 percent at the March meeting, according to the latest research report...

FxWirePro: What Causes Shift in Risk-Reward of High-Beta ZAR?

Aug 14, 2019 13:34 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The underperformance of South African local markets the past several months has been remarkable. Despite the dovish shift of the Fed and the SARB interest rate cut, since the start of March (prior to the beginning of the...

FxWirePro: A Run Through on VXY for G10 and EMFX-Bloc

Aug 14, 2019 10:18 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

In the recent past, the trade protectionism theme shot back into focus as a potential major left tail risk for markets. Implied and realized volatility has rebounded from low levels driven by general risk-off moves in the...

FxWirePro: SGD FX and Rates Trades on Singapore Q2 GDP Prints and MAS Easing Risks

Aug 13, 2019 14:53 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Singapores final Q2GDP report released this morning was unchanged from the advance report of just 0.1% yoy. The contraction in the manufacturing sector was revised -3.1% yoy vs -3.8% previously but this was offset by...