Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings
May 20, 2019 07:51 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks
FOMC followed through its promise and hiked rates four times in 2018 and forecasted two more rate hikes for 2019. Current Federal funds rate - 225-250 bps (Note, all calculations are based on data as of 13th...
May 20, 2019 07:37 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy
Bank Indonesia (BI) is expected to be patient and make its move only in the second half of this year, after unsurprisingly keeping its 7-day reverse repo rate unchanged at 6.00 percent at its monetary policy meeting, held...
FxWirePro: A quick glance through Aussie rates derivatives strategies on RBA cut bids
May 17, 2019 09:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks
Following the very weak Q1 CPI release of Australia, the market has re-calibrated its RBA expectations and pushed 3yr swap rates to new record lows quicker than even we had expected under our expectation that the RBA would...

May 17, 2019 06:51 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks
If history is likely to repeat, the Federal election in Australia could deliver a short term boost to Aussie dollar, but less so if the ALP is victorious. We find that on average, AUDUSD typically rallies 2c in the weeks...

May 17, 2019 06:51 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks
If history is likely to repeat, the Federal election in Australia could deliver a short term boost to Aussie dollar, but less so if the ALP is victorious. We find that on average, AUDUSD typically rallies 2c in the weeks...

May 16, 2019 14:27 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Technicals
The Mexican central bank (Banxico) should again leave its key rate unchanged at 8.25% at tonights meeting. Due to weak growth and lower inflation rates, some expect Banxico to cut interest rates this year. But it is much...

FxWirePro: Aussie dollar wedged amid mixed bag of data news but bears delve for bearish hedging bets
May 16, 2019 10:54 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks
Despite local data continuing to out-perform relative to the global data flow (refer 1stchart), AUDUSD has under-performed of late, kept in check by a slow-burning negative domestic narrative, a re-escalation of trade war...