FxWirePro: Spotlight on Banxico – Technicals and Options Markets Still Signal Vulnerable Mexican Peso

May 16, 2019 14:27 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Technicals

The Mexican central bank (Banxico) should again leave its key rate unchanged at 8.25% at tonights meeting. Due to weak growth and lower inflation rates, some expect Banxico to cut interest rates this year. But it is much...

FxWirePro: Aussie dollar wedged amid mixed bag of data news but bears delve for bearish hedging bets

May 16, 2019 10:54 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Despite local data continuing to out-perform relative to the global data flow (refer 1stchart), AUDUSD has under-performed of late, kept in check by a slow-burning negative domestic narrative, a re-escalation of trade war...

FxWirePr0: Aussie goes vulnerable on Chinese data - Stay short in AUD/USD spot and AUD/JPY through a 6w put switch

May 16, 2019 07:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The majority of the Aussie pairs are dragging price dips today on the back of theChinese domestic demand saw a broad-based easing in April. AUDUSDdipped -0.20%,EURAUDclimbs +0.27%, whileAUDJPYslipped about -0.37%, and...

FxWirePro: A glimpse at PLN’s outperformance/underperformance and trade recommendation

May 15, 2019 15:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

It is reckoned that CE4 FX is most likely to underperform the dollar-driven high betas in EMFX-bloc in the days to come. NBP is set to announce a rate decision today: there is no prospect of change in monetary policy at...

Fed likely to remain on wait-and-see mode over the months ahead; trade talks to continue swinging sentiment: Scotiabank

May 15, 2019 04:42 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Federal Reserve is expected to remain a wait-and-see mode in the months ahead. However, oil prices are likely to contribute positively to the US inflation in November and December this year by considering the base...

FxWirePro: A glimpse at CAD – NOK vol spread

May 14, 2019 09:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Norges Bank to turn more neutral as well: given the 60% chance of a rate hike in June, as penciled in by the Norges Bank, a more dovish stance at the next May 9 meeting would likely drag NOK swaptions values lower,...

CNB likely to keep key interest rates constant over the year in lieu of inflation meeting target, says Commerzbank

May 14, 2019 07:29 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Czech National Bank (CNB) is expected to keep the countrys benchmark interest rates unchanged over the course of this year, on expectations that the inflation rate will fall to the central banks target of 2 percent in...