Progressive decline in Eurozone inflation rate argues against an imminent rate hike by the ECB

Jun 30, 2017 11:11 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Eurostat, the EUs statistics agency, released Eurozone inflation data for the month of June earlier today. Official figures show that inflation across the 19-country eurozone fell to its lowest level this year on easing...

FxWirePro: BoC’s Poloz indicates possibility of July hike

Jun 30, 2017 10:27 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Canadas bonds have suffered most this week among its peers, more than the counterparts in UK, France, Germany or Australia as the Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Stephen Poloz indicated that a rate hike from the central bank...

FxWirePro: Why and what's so hawkish in BOC’s next MPS?

Jun 30, 2017 10:17 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Hawkish commentary from Bank of Canada officials this month has taken the FX market by storm. The implied probability of a 25bp BoC rate hike in its 12 July meeting has exploded from under 5% just three weeks ago to over...

FxWirePro: Where would Aussie dollar likely to head towards in H2’2017 ahead of RBA statements?

Jun 30, 2017 08:57 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

For AUDUSD, the impressive rise since May persists, and has a decent chance of pushing above 0.7700 during the next day or two. From a central bank perspective, the RBA is scheduled to deliver its monetary policy...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Bullard questions Fed’s ‘going alone’ hike path

Jun 30, 2017 08:05 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, speaking on the sidelines of an event in London said that it was disconcerting that the market-based measures of inflation have actually fallen despite the central bank increased...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Cost-effective optionality structure to arrest a RUB correction

Jun 29, 2017 12:43 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The CBR remains s dovish. We expect the measured pace of rate cuts beginning in June. May CPI at 4.1% oya surprised on the upside and is marginally above the inflation target of 4.0%. As our base case, JPM forecasts the...

Central Banking Series

FxWirePro: CNB maintains status quo as uncertainty lingering from ECB – Use Forwards derivatives for hedging

Jun 29, 2017 12:23 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The Czech National Bank held its two-week repo rate at a record low of 0.05 pct, to keep its benchmark rate on hold today but the CB sends out a more dovish signal as widely expected. The discount rate and the Lombard...